乘用车柴油废气管制:比较管制制度及未来建议

Elliot M. Wolf
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摘要

从上世纪90年代开始,美国和欧盟对乘用车柴油发动机的排放实施了限制。美国和欧洲的制度在某些关键方面存在差异,导致了两种截然不同的结果。在美国,柴油车从肮脏和丰富到清洁和稀有,仅占2010年市场的0.6%。然而,在欧盟,柴油车既清洁又丰富,占2010年市场的53%。这个结果有几个含义。首先,我们可以检查不同制度对两个相对可比的汽车市场的影响,以阐明制度的各个组成部分的影响。其次,欧盟的结果比美国“好”,因此欧盟机制的某些组成部分暗示了美国未来可能的政策。第三,美国和欧盟在监管柴油方面的经验可能会对美国未来的环境政策制定产生影响。这一分析的总体结论是,美国的标准(有时比欧盟的标准更为严格)可能阻止了制造商向美国供应柴油车。然而,最重要的是,美国和欧洲之间燃油价格和燃油税的差异,极大地影响了消费者购买柴油的经济动机,可能是需求的最大决定因素。既然柴油技术已经发展到柴油排放与汽油排放一样清洁的阶段,美国应该推行政策,增加柴油技术的采用。实现这一目标的主要方法是降低柴油相对于汽油的成本,提高这两种燃料的价格(在政治上可行的范围内),并通过施加不使用柴油就无法达到的燃油经济性要求,可能迫使美国制造商重新进入柴油市场。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regulation of Passenger Car Diesel Exhaust: Comparative Regulatory Regimes and Proposals for the Future
Beginning in the 1990s, the United States and the European Union imposed limits on emissions from diesel engines in passenger cars. The US and European regimes differ in certain key respects, contributing to two disparate outcomes. In the US, diesel cars went from being dirty and abundant to being clean and rare, constituting a mere 0.6% of the 2010 market. In the European Union, however, diesel cars are both clean and abundant, constituting 53% of the 2010 market. This result has several implications. First, we can examine the impact of the disparate regimes on two relatively comparable car markets to elucidate the impact of individual components of the regimes. Second, the outcome in the EU is “better” than that in the US, and thus certain components of the EU regime suggest possible future policies for the US. Third, the experiences of the US and the EU in regulating diesel may have implications for future US environmental policymaking. The broad conclusions of this analysis are that US standards, at times more stringent than their EU counterparts, may have prevented manufacturers from supplying diesel cars to the US. Above all else, however, differences in fuel prices and fuel taxation between the US and Europe massively impact consumers’ economic incentives to purchase diesel, and are likely the single biggest determinant of demand. Now that diesel technology has advanced to the stage where diesel emissions are as clean as gasoline emissions, the US should pursue policies that would increase its adoption. The primary ways to do so are to lower the cost of diesel fuel relative to gasoline, raise the price of both fuels (to the extent politically feasible), and potentially force US manufacturers to re-enter the diesel market by imposing fuel economy requirements that are unattainable without the use of diesel.
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