出口质量动态

P. Krishna, William F. Maloney
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引用次数: 20

摘要

国家出口质量(以单位价值衡量)与收入水平相关,这表明研究质量动态可能提供对发展过程的见解。本文使用高度分类的贸易数据来探索1990-2000年期间出口到美国的商品的出口质量(单位价值)动态。除了发现不同国家和国家内部不同商品的出口相对质量存在相当大的异质性外,作者还发现,质量增长率在不同国家之间也存在很大差异。具体来说,增长最快的是来自较富裕(经合组织)国家的出口,这意味着各地区产品质量的差异在不断扩大。尽管有证据表明,随着时间的推移,质量会有条件趋同——初始相对质量水平较低的商品在质量上增长得更快。数据表明,这种差异部分是由产品结构本身驱动的——经合组织出口产品的增长率本质上更高。这与Hausmann, Hwang和Rodrik(2007)的观点一致,即国家的出口对经济增长至关重要。然而,这在一定程度上是由富裕国家较高的质量增长率推动的,而不受趋同效应的影响,这表明阻碍整体趋同的其他特定国家因素也在起作用。最后,各国跨产品线的技术“跨越式发展”非常有限,因为新出口产品的相对质量平均而言与现有出口产品大致相同,无论是在富裕国家还是其他地方。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Export Quality Dynamics
Country export quality (measured by unit values) is correlated with income level suggesting that studying quality dynamics potentially offers insights into the development process. This paper uses highly disaggregated trade data to explore the export quality (unit value) dynamics of goods exported to the United States over the 1990-2000 period. In addition to finding considerable heterogeneity in the relative quality of exports across countries and across goods within countries, the authors find that the rate of quality growth varies substantially across countries, as well. Specifically, the fastest growth is seen in exports from the richer (OECD) countries, implying an evolving divergence in product quality across regions. This divergence obtains despite evidence of conditional convergence in quality over time- goods with lower initial relative quality levels experience faster growth in quality. The data suggest that part of this divergence is driven by the product mix itself -- OECD exported products experience intrinsically higher growth rates. This is consistent with the argument of Hausmann, Hwang and Rodrik (2007) that what countries export does matter for growth. However, it is partly driven by a higher growth rate of quality in the richer countries independent of convergence effects, suggesting that other country-specific factors impeding overall convergence are at work. Finally, there is very limited technological"leap-frogging"by countries across product lines as the relative quality of new exports, on average, is roughly the same as incumbent exports, both in richer countries and elsewhere.
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