基于多层感知机的股票市场基本面与技术面综合分析

Alireza Namdari, Z. Li
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引用次数: 21

摘要

我们使用多层感知器,利用纳斯达克上市科技公司的股价(2012-06至2017-12)和财务比率,提出了一个基本和技术分析的混合模型。我们的模型使用数据离散化和特征选择预处理。采用三隐层MLP进行拓扑优化,得到了最佳结果。我们通过训练/测试分割和交叉验证来检验混合模型的可预测性。结果表明,该混合模型能较好地预测未来股票走势。与孤立的基本面和技术分析结果相比,我们的模型的平均方向精度最高(65.87%)。数值结果提供了足够的证据来证明市场不是完全有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integrating Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Stock Market through Multi-layer Perceptron
We use Multi-layer Perceptron and propose a hybrid model of fundamental and technical analysis by utilizing stock prices (from 2012–06 to 2017–12) and financial ratios of Technology companies listed on Nasdaq. Our model uses data discretization and feature selection preprocesses. The best results are obtained through topology optimizations using a three-hidden layer MLP. We examine the predictability of our hybrid model through a training/test split and cross-validation. It is found that the hybrid model successfully predicts the future stock movements. Our model results in the greatest average directional accuracy (65.87%) compared to the results obtained from the fundamental and technical analysis in isolation. The numerical results provide enough evidence to conclude that the market is not perfectly efficient.
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