印尼与土耳其主要商品贸易竞争力分析及影响因素

Fauziyah Adzimatinur
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摘要

本研究旨在分析印尼与土耳其之间的竞争力、贸易一体化、贸易互补性以及主要商品进出口的影响因素。本研究使用的数据是1996-2018年的时间序列数据,使用的方法是显性比较优势(RCA)、产业内贸易(IIT)、贸易互补性指数(TCI)和普通最小二乘(OLS)。RCA结果显示,印尼对土耳其的主要出口商品是机织物、硬脂酸、棕榈油和天然橡胶。而印度理工学院表明,从印尼进行贸易只有一种方式。从土耳其进口的商品有地毯、硼砂、小麦粉和烟草。TCI显示印尼出口与土耳其进口互补性较低。人均GDP对出口和进口都有积极的影响。汇率对出口有积极影响,对进口有消极影响。价格和关税税率对出口和进口都有负面影响。虚拟非关税壁垒对出口产生负面影响,而在进口方面,仅对小麦粉产生负面影响。印度尼西亚政府应推行一项贸易合作战略,努力减少贸易壁垒,例如对某些在土耳其市场上具有竞争力的商品征收关税和非关税。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Competitiveness Analysis and Factors Affecting Trade of Main Commodities between Indonesia and Turkey
This study aims to analyze the competitiveness, trade integration, trade complementarity, and factors affecting the export and import of main commodities between Indonesia and Turkey. Data used in this study is time series data in 1996-2018 and the methods used are Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Intra-Industry Trade (IIT), Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Results of RCA showed Indonesia's main export commodities to Turkey are woven fabrics, stearic acid, palm oil and natural rubber. While IIT showed that there is only one way trade from Indonesia. Import commodities from Turkey are carpets, borax, wheat flour, and tobacco. TCI showed low complementarity between Indonesia�s export and Turkey�s import. GDP per capita has positive impact on exports and imports. The exchange rate has positive impact on exports and negative on imports. Price and tariff rate have negative impact on both exports and imports. Dummy Non-tariff barrier has negative impact on exports while in import side, it only affects the wheat flour negatively. The Government of Indonesia should pursue a strategy in trade cooperation as efforts to reduce trade barriers such as tariffs and non-tariffs for some commodities that have competitiveness in the Turkish market.
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