电力部门脱碳的经济学:科威特的案例研究

N. Hussain, Mohammad Jassam
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摘要

在这项研究活动中,燃料能源被用来评价科威特各发电站产生的二氧化碳排放量。并利用计算出的co2排放量对采用胺基碳捕集技术减少电站co2排放进行经济评估。采用线性回归模型对电站燃料能源的co2排放量进行了预测。因变量是发电站的二氧化碳排放总量,而自变量是用于发电的燃料的能量。回归分析结果表明,模型拟合优度强,回归系数具有较高的显著性水平。回归模型表明,重质燃料油对二氧化碳排放总量的影响最大。如果重质燃料油消耗量增加1 BBTU,将导致二氧化碳总排放量增加0.0817千吨。对重质燃料油依赖程度高的电站排放高于其他电站。另一方面,天然气消费量每增加1 BBTU,二氧化碳总排放量将增加0.0592千吨。天然气是减少排放的最佳化石燃料,因为与其他化石燃料相比,在任何水平的燃料能源中,天然气的二氧化碳排放量都更少。研究发现,在电力行业中,阿尔祖尔南、萨比亚和多哈西发电站的二氧化碳排放量最高。考虑管道和卡车两种运输方式,对三个电站进行了燃烧后碳捕集技术的初步经济评价。结果表明,南阿尔祖尔的管道和卡车运输分别避免了约12.3亿美元和15.8亿美元的二氧化碳总成本,而西多哈的管道和卡车运输分别避免了7.385亿美元和9.459亿美元的二氧化碳总成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Economics of Power Sector Decarbonization: A Case Study for Kuwait
In this research activity fuel energies were used to evaluate CO 2 emissions resulting from the power stations in Kuwait. Also, the calculated CO 2 emitted was used to perform economic valuation for using amine-based carbon capture technology to reduce the CO 2 emissions from the power stations. Linear regression model was used to predict CO 2 emissions using fuels energies used in the power stations. The dependent variable is total CO 2 emissions from the power stations while the independent variables are the fuels energies of the fuels used to generate electricity. Regression analysis results showed that the model has strong goodness of fit and regression coefficients have high significance level. The regression model indicated that Heavy fuel oil has the highest effect on the total CO 2 emitted. If the heavy fuel oil consumption increases with 1 BBTU this will lead to an increase in the total CO 2 emission of 0.0817 kton. The power stations with high dependence on Heavy fuel oil had higher emissions than other power stations. On the other hand, when Natural gas consumption increases with 1 BBTU this will increase the total CO 2 emissions with 0.0592 kton. Natural gas is the best fossil fuel to reduce emissions since it has less CO 2 emissions at any level of fuel energy compared to other fossil fuels. It was found that Alzour South, Sabiya, and Doha West power stations have the highest CO 2 emissions in the power sector. The preliminary economic valuation to use post combustion carbon capture technology was performed for the three power stations considering two modes of transportation which are pipelines and trucks. The results indicated that the total costs of CO 2 avoided for Alzour South are approximately USD 1.23 billion, and USD 1.58 billion for pipelines and trucks transport respectively while for Doha West are USD 738.5 million, and USD 945.9 million for pipelines and trucks transport respectively.
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