从算法交易的角度看随机游走模型

O. Danyliv, B. Bland, A. Argenson
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引用次数: 5

摘要

尽管日内市场价格分布并非正态分布,但价格行为的随机游走模型对于理解市场基本原理的重要性,就像钟摆模型是物理学中许多基本理论的起点一样。这个模型是一个很好的零阶近似液体快速移动的市场,排队的位置是不重要的价格行动。本文给出了静态被动切片执行成本的精确解。结果表明,如果价格具有随机游走行为,则订单执行没有最优限制水平:所有水平的执行成本与切片开始时立即执行的执行成本相同。此外,对限价订单的风险估计以及限价订单执行的概率作为切片时间和价格标准偏差的函数被导出。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Random Walk Model From the Point of View of Algorithmic Trading
Despite the fact that an intraday market price distribution is not normal, the random walk model of price behaviour is as important for the understanding of basic principles of the market as the pendulum model is a starting point of many fundamental theories in physics. This model is a good zero order approximation for liquid fast moving markets where the queue position is less important than the price action. In this paper we present an exact solution for the cost of the static passive slice execution. It is shown, that if a price has a random walk behaviour, there is no optimal limit level for an order execution: all levels have the same execution cost as an immediate aggressive execution at the beginning of the slice. Additionally the estimations for the risk of a limit order as well as the probability of a limit order execution as functions of the slice time and standard deviation of the price are derived.
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