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引用次数: 0
摘要
在本文中,我们将用N步效用函数(6,7)来验证一项投资的最优收益,使得H*为时刻N在2n个可能状态下的收益;在N时期的市场环境中。考虑了市场结构按马尔可夫链变化时的负指数、对数、平方根和幂效用函数。这些模型被用来预测尼日利亚资本市场上一些选定公司的业绩。模型设计参数p, q, p', q'的估计对应于投资减半或加倍。任何效用函数的性能都是由上升与下降的概率之比q: q'以及上升与下降的风险中性概率度量之比p: p'决定的。
An Optimal Investment Returns with N-Step Utility Functions
In this paper, we shall validate the optimal payoff of an investment with an N-step utility function, (6, 7), such that H* is the payoff at time N in every possible state say 2n; in an N period market setting. Negative exponential, logarithm, square root and power utility functions were considered as the market structures change according to a Markov chain. These models were used to predict the performances of some selected companies in the Nigeria Capital Market. The estimates for models design parameters p, q, p', q' correspond to halving or doubling of investment. The performance of any utility function is determined by the ratio q: q' of the probability of rising to falling as well as the ratio p: p' of the risk neutral probability measure of rising to the falling.