人才与城市发展战略研究

Mingchun Shi, Junhao Zou, Zhuo Wang, Xinyu Zhang, Haoyu Zhang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

人才供需失衡是当今社会的一个基本问题,城市人才库与人才职业的调配程度也影响着城市的发展。因此,把握好人才与发展的关系具有十分重要的意义。首先,根据不同的人才类别,建立了多目标分析层次过程(ahp)的人才需求模型,从岗位需求、期望职业和学历要求三个方面分析了人才市场的现状。其次,建立人才需求预测分析的Alima模型,并结合时间序列模型对未来城市的潜在人才需求进行预测,得出未来三年专业最重要的需求是经济管理,工作最重要的需求是科学技术。最后,根据大学生不同专业偏好的现状,建立Garch模型,提出城市发展与人才引进的策略,并进行合理的检验,给出相应的人才与城市供需匹配的合理策略,减少人才供需失衡,促进城市发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on Talent and Urban Development Strategy
The imbalance between talent supply and demand is a basic problem in today's society, and the degree of deployment between talent pool and talent and occupation in cities also affects the development of cities. Therefore, it is of great significance to grasp the relationship between talents and the relationship of development. First of all, according to different categories of talent, the talent demand model with multi-objective analysis level process (ahp) is established, and the current situation of the talent market is analyzed from three aspects: job demand, expected occupation and educational background requirements. Secondly, the Alima model of talent demand forecasting and analysis is established, and combined with the time series model to predict the potential talent demand of future cities, and conclude that the most important needs of professional in the next three years are economic management, and the most important need for work is science and technology. Finally, according to the current situation of college students' different professional preferences, the Garch model is established, the strategy of urban development and talent introduction is put forward, and reasonable test is carried out, and the corresponding reasonable strategy of matching supply and demand between talents and cities is given, the imbalance between talent supply and demand is reduced, and the development of the city is improved.
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