安倍晋三执政以来日本的再军事化斗争

Muhammad Arif Prabowo
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摘要

本文讨论了自2012年安倍晋三(Shinzo Abe)连任以来,日本努力推动其军事能力在安全问题上变得更加积极。在此期间,由于日本和平宪法(第9条)的限制以及日本人反对以安倍为首的日本政治领导人提出的军国主义或“再军事化”的想法,日本的防务政策面临巨大挑战。这种不确定性使日本人对中国产生了一种悲观的看法,迫使日本通过改革其国防政策来加强其军事能力,从而加强其安全。在这篇文章中,我认为日本的再军事化是由日本对中国侵略威胁的感知所刺激的。本文运用罗伯特·杰维斯的理论,从结构层面分析日本再军事化的动因。这一安全现象将受到安全困境和威胁感知这两个必不可少的概念的启发。其他国内方面,如公众舆论和精英的讨论,以显示主要论点的真实性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Japan's Remilitarization Struggle Since the Shinzo Abe’s Leadership
This article discusses Japan’s struggle to push its military capabilities to become more active in security issues since the reelection of Shinzo Abe in 2012. During this time, Japanese defense policy faced great challenges due to the restriction of the Japanese constitution of pacifism (Article 9) and the fact that the Japanese opposed the idea of militarism or ‘remilitarization’ initiated by Japanese political leaders, mainly Abe. However, the Chinese military presence in the region with overwhelming military capabilities and aggressive behavior, particularly around Diayou/Senkaku islands in the East China Sea, threatens Japan. This uncertainty has engendered a grim perception of China among the Japanese which forces Japan to fortify its security by reforming its defense policy to strengthen its military capabilities. In this essay, I argue that the remilitarization of Japan is stimulated by the Japanese perception of the threat of Chinese aggressiveness. By utilizing Robert Jervis's theory, the analysis is focused on a structural level to trace the incentive of Japan’s remilitarization. This security phenomenon will be enlightened by two imperative concepts of the security dilemma and perception of threat. Other domestic aspects like public opinion and elites are discussed to show the veracity of the main argument.
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