利沃夫作为乌克兰西部地区的都市中心:人口结构的特殊性

I. Kurylo, T. Garashchenko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文探讨了乌克兰西部大都市利沃夫市人口结构的现代特征。这是通过对利沃夫人口的性别和年龄结构与利沃夫地区的城市人口以及乌克兰东部和南部大都市进行比较分析来完成的。利沃夫人口性别和年龄构成的现代特点是根据一套指标,使用统计和人口统计学方法进行结构和动态分析,以及使用稳定人口模型对结构进行比较评估。人口结构分析的估计方法在这些地域对象的研究中尚未使用。利沃夫和其他大都市的人口性别平衡年龄有几个不同的“阈值”,这是由于这些城市作为乌克兰的教育和经济中心,其教育和劳动力迁移的性别特殊性及其固有的经济专业特征。分析显示,在考虑的城市中,利沃夫的人口更年轻,青年和育龄妇女的比例略高,老年人对工作年龄人口的人口负担明显较低,儿童和青少年的负担较高。这些特征与更有利的自然繁殖制度有关,反映了利沃夫在南部和东部城市背景下现有和潜在的民主经济优势。然而,由于预期寿命相对较高,生殖活动略低,利沃夫的人口在人口统计学上比利沃夫地区的城市人口(减去区域中心)要老。这项研究强调了利沃夫与被研究的南部和东部大都市在人口结构方面的差异。应该指出的是,虽然利沃夫的人口老龄化在短期和中期会有所进展,但总的来说,乌克兰西部地区的中心具有更好的社会经济发展,特别是刺激创新的人口先决条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Lviv as a Metropolitan Center of the Western Region of Ukraine: Peculiarities of Demographic Structure
The paper deals with identifying modern features of population structure of Lviv city as the metropolis of the western region of Ukraine. It has been done by using comparative analysis of gender and age structure of Lviv population with the urban population of Lviv region and with the east and south Ukrainian metropolises. Th e modern peculiarities of gender and age composition of Lviv population are considered according to a set of indicators using statistical and demographic methods of structure and dynamics analysis as well as comparative assessment of structures using the model of stable population. Demographic structure is analyzed with estimation methods which haven’t been used in studies of these territorial objects yet. Th ere are several diff erent “thresholds” of sexes balancing age in the population of Lviv and other metropolises, which is explained by the gender specifi cs of educational and labor migration to these cities as educational and economic centers of Ukraine with their inherent features of economic major. Th e analysis revealed that among the considered cities the population of Lviv is younger, it has a slightly higher proportion of youth and women in reproductive age, signifi cantly lower demographic burden on population of working age by older people and higher burden by children and adolescents. Th ese features are associated with more favorable regime of natural reproduction and refl ects the existing and potential demoeconomic advantages of Lviv against the background of the south and east cities. Th e population of Lviv is, however, demographically older than the urban population of Lviv region (minus the regional center) due to relatively higher life expectancy and slightly lower reproductive activity. Th e study has underlined the diff erences between Lviv and studied metropolises of the south and east in terms of its demographic structure. It should be noted that although in the short and medium term the population aging in Lviv will be pro gressing, but in general the center of the western region of Ukraine has better demographic prerequisites for socio-economic development and, in particular, spurring the innovation.
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