本福德定律在心理定价检测中的应用

Hrvoje Jošić, Berislav Žmuk
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文介绍了本福德定律在心理定价检测中的应用。本福德定律是自然发生的定律,它指出数字出现的频率是可以预测的,其中数字1出现的频率最高。心理定价是一种以价格制定为导向,对特定消费者产生心理影响的营销定价策略。为了研究本福德定律在心理定价检测中的应用,本福德定律在第一位和最后一位数字的情况下被观察到。为了检验观察到的价格的首位和尾位是否分别服从Benford定律分布或离散均匀分布,使用了平均绝对偏差测度、卡方检验和Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z检验。对三个价格数据集进行的分析结果表明,最主要的第一个数字是1和2。另一方面,最主要的最后数字分别是0、5和9。卡方检验和Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z检验表明,在5%的显著性水平下,三个观察到的价格数据集都没有符合Benford定律分布的第一位数字分布。同样,平均绝对偏差值表明,在所有价格数据集中,最后数字分布和离散均匀分布之间存在很大差异,这意味着心理定价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE APPLICATION OF BENFORD'S LAW IN PSYCHOLOGICAL PRICING DETECTION
This paper presents the application of Benford's law in psychological pricing detection. Benford's law is naturally occurring law which states that digits have predictable frequencies of appearance with digit one having the highest frequency. Psychological pricing is one of the marketing pricing strategies directed on price setting which have the psychological impact on certain consumers. In order to investigate the application of Benford's law in psychological pricing detection, Benford's law is observed in the case of first and last digits. In order to inspect if the first and last digits of the observed prices are distributed according to the Benford’s law distribution or discrete uniform distribution respectively, mean absolute deviation measure, chi-square tests and Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z tests are used. Results of the analysis conducted on three price datasets have shown that the most dominating first digits are 1 and 2. On the other side, the most dominating last digits are 0, 5 and 9 respectively. The chi-square tests and Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z tests have showed that, at significance level of 5%, none of the three observed price datasets does have first digit distribution that fits to the Benford’s law distribution. Likewise, mean absolute deviation values have shown that there are large differences between the last digit distributions and the discrete uniform distribution implying psychological pricing in all price datasets.
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