了解现金价值人寿保险需求的转变

Barry S. Mulholland, Michael S. Finke, Sandra J. Huston
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引用次数: 5

摘要

人寿保险是家庭用来对冲生命周期中劳动收入流动的不确定性和满足遗赠动机的工具。虽然对人寿保险的总体需求持续了50年的下降趋势,但在过去的18年里,定期人寿保险比现金价值保险更受欢迎。大众媒体和一些关于人寿保险需求的文献表明,需求的变化主要是由人口结构的变化、人寿保险营销努力的转变以及家庭组建时间的变化所驱动的。本文试图找出影响现金价值寿险需求的外生因素,除了人口因素和不断变化的营销努力。使用1992年至2010年的SCFs和逻辑回归,我们发现在20世纪90年代末引入税收优惠的退休和教育储蓄计划正在减少对现金价值人寿保险的需求。我们发现,2001年后,尽管遗产税豁免增加,但易受遗产税影响的家庭对现金价值人寿保险的需求有所增加。我们还发现证据表明,财务水平越高的家庭越有可能拥有越复杂的现金价值人寿保险产品。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Understanding the Shift in Demand for Cash Value Life Insurance
Life insurance is a tool that households use to hedge against the uncertainty of labor income flows over the life cycle and to meet bequest motives. While overall demand for life insurance continues a 50-year downward trend, term life insurance has gained in popularity over cash value insurance in the last 18 years. The popular press and some literature about life insurance demand suggest the change in demand is mainly driven by changing demographics, shifting life insurance marketing efforts, and changes in timing of family formation. This paper attempts to identify exogenous factors influencing the demand for cash value life insurance beyond the demographic factors and changing marketing efforts. Using the 1992 through 2010 SCFs and logistic regression, we find that the introduction of tax-advantaged retirement and education savings plans in the late 1990s is reducing the need for cash value life insurance. We find increased demand for cash value life insurance for households vulnerable to estate taxes after 2001 despite increased estate tax exemptions. We also find evidence that more highly financially sophisticated households are more likely to own the more sophisticated cash value life insurance products.
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