越南与贸易伙伴国双边贸易流动的决定因素——重力模型方法

Lê Khương Ninh, Phan Anh Tu, Pham Thi Nhu Hao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用重力模型对2001 - 2011年越南与52个国家的双边贸易流量进行了研究。数据来自国际贸易中心(ITC)、国际货币基金组织(IMF)和世界银行(WB)。结果表明,经济规模、地理距离、经济距离、技术创新、贸易开放程度、自由贸易协定、人口、汇率、共同边界等因素影响着越南与这52个国家的双边贸易流量。更重要的是,本研究使用收敛速度方法为越南寻找新的潜在贸易伙伴,例如非洲和西南亚的贸易伙伴。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Bilateral Trade Flows Between Vietnam and Trading Partner Countries – Gravity Model Approach
This study uses the gravity model to investigate the bilateral trade flows between Vietnam and 52 countries from 2001 through 2011. The data are collected from International Trade Centre (ITC), International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank (WB). The results show that economic size, geographical distance, economic distance, technological innovation, trade openness, free trade agreement, population, exchange rate, and common border affect the bilateral trade flows between Vietnam and these 52 countries. More importantly, this study uses the speed-of-convergence method to find new potential trading partners for Vietnam, such as those in Africa and Southwest Asia.
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