哥伦比亚五个配电系统的维修过程

C. J. Zapata, J. Díaz, M. Ocampo, J. D. Marriaga, J. Patino, A. F. Gallego
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文提出了在五个哥伦比亚电力分配系统中使用排队论概念进行维修过程的研究。采用随机点过程模型表示排队系统的输入过程和服务过程,并采用序贯蒙特卡罗模拟方法对维修过程的性能指标进行评价。结果表明:1 .幂律随机点过程模型被推荐为表示输入过程和服务过程的首选模型,因为它甚至适合于那些低趋势的样本,而更新过程模型的拟合失败。2虽然交通强度参数可以直观地反映维修过程性能的变化趋势,但要知道某一指标何时高于或低于某一给定值,还需要应用评价程序。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The repair process of five Colombian power distribution systems
This paper presents a study of the repair process performed in five Colombian power distribution systems using queuing theory concepts. It represents the input and service processes of the queuing system by means of stochastic point process models and assesses the repair process performance indexes applying a procedure of sequential Monte Carlo simulation. Results shows: i. The power law stochastic point process model is recommended as the first choice for representing the input and service processes because it fits even in those cases of samples with low tendency for which the fit to renewal process models failed. ii. Although the traffic intensity parameter gives at a glance the tendency of the repair process performance, to know when an index is higher o lower than a given value, it is necessary to apply the assessment procedure.
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