局部气候动力学适应和进化的调节特性

Y. Kolokolov, A. Monovskaya
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文从双同步迟滞控制(所谓hds控制)下的能量转换器概念模型出发,通过参考自适应详细阐述了气候变化调节器的观点。该模式描述了天气、季节和气候条件下动态过程之间的因果关系,并解决了年际变率问题。在这种情况下,迅速破坏当地习惯性季节模式的主要原因似乎与与当地生态系统影响动态演变和“抑制”由hds控制产生的短暂超调能力有关的参数变化有关。通过处理气象观测资料所作的重建表明,与气候有关的自然振荡可以促进这种破坏。分岔理论和控制理论的交叉应用为理解近期局部气候变化如此剧烈的原因开辟了一条途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regulator peculiarities to the adaptation and evolution of local climate dynamics
The paper develops the regulator view on climate changes from the conceptual model of the energy converter under the hysteresis control with double synchronization (the so-called HDS-control) detailed by a reference adaptation. This model describes cause-and-effect relations between dynamic processes in weather, seasonal and climate terms and resolves the interannual variability problem. In this context, the principal reason to destroy rapidly the habitual local seasonal patterns seems to be connected with variation of parameters associated with the abilities of local ecosystems to influence on dynamics evolution and to "damp" transient overshoots generated by the HDS-control. Reconstructions made by processing the meteorological observations show that such destructions can be promoted by natural climate-related oscillations. The interpenetrating usage of both the bifurcation and control theories opens a way to understand why the recent local climate changes occur so stormy.
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