经济制度变迁与中国经济增长效率的实证研究

Wang Lin-hui, Dong Zhi-qing, Huang Wei-ting, Li Fu-qiang
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文基于经济制度与经济增长的功能模型,利用中国各省的面板数据,对经济制度转型效率和中国经济最佳增长路径进行了实证研究。研究表明:第一,经济制度是经济增长的根本原因。第二,经济制度是内生的。第三,经济制度是否有效取决于拥有经济控制权的个人或集团。第四,实证分析表明,经济制度对中国经济增长具有重要作用,经济制度转型是有效的。也就是说,近年来,国有企业的改革,经济政策的调整,中国的市场化改革是成功的。第五,由于1900-1949年几十年的内战和经济的恶化,1949-2006年,中国市场力量弱,政府力量强,这一切都使得中国经济处于中国政府的控制之下,即中国政府选择经济方式,激励投资,改革开放。第六,治理模型和实证研究证明了经济增长过程中存在最佳经济制度,中国政府治理能够以经济增长为目标实现最佳经济增长,数据为R2=0.99, A-R2=0.99, DW=2.78, f统计量=0.0000的系数以及不同水平(1%,5%,10%)下的显著性。这表明经济制度可以解释中国经济的增长。此外,经济制度对经济增长的促进具有正向贡献,即中国经济制度演进的过程与经济增长的效率方向是一致的,另一种是我们使用了政府的控制力指标,如市场化水平、财政收入、国有经济产出等,高水平的拟合特征表明政府在经济治理过程中处于主导地位。这与中国经济发展的实际情况是一致的。在10%显著性水平下,宏观经济治理结构e指标显著,且系数为负,说明由于中国经济增长的成功,可能存在最优治理结构;我们可以得出结论,市场和政府都可以使经济有效增长
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Study of the Economic Institution Transition and the Efficiency of Chinese Economic Growth
Based on the functional model of economic institution and economic growth, and using the panel data of all Chinese provinces, the paper does some empirical study on the efficiency of economic institution transition and Chinese best economic growth path. It shows that: First, the economic institution is the fundamental cause of economic growth. Second, the economic institution is endogenous. Third, whether the economic institution is efficient or not depends on the individual or the group with the control right of the economy. Fourth, the empirical analysis shows that the economic institution is important to Chinese economic growth, and economic institution transition is efficient. In the other words, in recent years, the reform of the state-owned corporation, the economic policy adjustment, Chinese reform of the Marketization is successful. Fifth, because of the civil war of several decades in 1900-1949 and the worse economy, and in 1949-2006, The market power is weak and the government is powerful in China, all this makes the Chinese economy to be in control of Chinese government, namely, Chinese government chooses the way of economy, motivating investment, and makes reform and openness. Sixth, the model of the governance model and the empirical study prove that there exists the best economic institution in the process of the economic growth, and the Chinese government governance can make the best economic growth with the goal of the economic growth, the data is that the coefficients that R2=0.99, A-R2=0.99, DW=2.78, F-statistic=0.0000 and the significance under different levels (1%, 5%, and 10%), and it shows that the economic institution can explain the growth of China's economy. Furthermore, and the economic institution has a positive contribution to the promotion of economic growth, that is, the process of China's economic institution evolution is identical to the efficient direction of the economic growth, other is that We use the control power indexes of the government, such as Marketization level, Financial Revenue, output of state-owned economy, and that the high-level fitted feature points out the government is dominate in the process of economic governance. This is identical to the fact of China's economic development. Furthermore, e index of the macro-economy governance structure is significance under the 10% significance level, and the coefficient is negative, which means that there maybe exists an optimal governance structure Owing to the success of Chinese economic growth; we can make the conclusion that both of the market and the government can make the economy grow efficiently
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