Mohammad Rifat Rahman, Md. Mufidur Rahman, Athkia Subat
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引用次数: 0
摘要
如今,金融危机的预测是所有公司和利益相关者关注的一个重要问题。作为一个快速增长的经济体,孟加拉国的保险业也备受关注。然而,孟加拉国保险公司的表现和贡献受到了学者们的高度批评。因此,为了全面了解孟加拉国一般保险行业的财务健康状况,我们对2014-2018年孟加拉国共有18家一般保险公司进行了二次研究。在整个研究过程中,我们测试了被广泛接受的Altman Z Score模型来预测一个主要的金融问题,即破产。我们发现95%的被选公司获得了安全,但不是在Altman Z得分模型的高度满意的计算值中。因此,正如预期的那样,这一发现突显了孟加拉国日益增长的自然保险业务的成功。此外,由于Z分数模型在预测财务困境的情况下具有很高的预测能力,我们的研究结果可以为利益相关者做出正确的投资决策提供有价值的途径。
IS THE GENERAL INSURANCE BUSINESS IN BANGLADESH FINANCIALLY DISTRESSED?
Nowadays, the forecast of the financial crisis is a significant concern for all companies and stakeholders. As a fast-growing economy, the insurance industry in Bangladesh is also a significant concern. Nevertheless, the performance and contribution of Bangladeshi insurance companies are highly criticized by scholars. Therefore, with the motivation to provide a comprehensive overview of the financial health of the general insurance industry in Bangladesh, we have done secondary research on a total of 18 general insurance companies in Bangladesh from 2014-2018. Throughout the study, we tested the widely accepted Altman Z Score model to predict a major financial concern called bankruptcy. We found that 95% of the selected companies secured the safe but not in the highly satisfactory calculated value of the Altman Z score model. Therefore, as expected, this finding highlights the success of the growing nature insurance business in Bangladesh. Also, as the Z score model has high predictive power in the case of predicting financial distress, our findings could be valuable path for stakeholders in making the right decision for investment.