考虑气候变化影响的雨水收集方法分析

C. Monjardin, Anne Louie B. Ente, Gladys Mae G. Lorenzo
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摘要

雨水收集(RWH)已经实践了很长时间,但在菲律宾,只有4%的总降雨量被利用。然后,本研究探讨了气候变化的影响,并预测了从2020年到2050年的30年间气候变化可能产生的降雨量。利用代表性浓度路径情景2.6、4.5和8.5,建立了一个局地气候模式来预测未来30年的年降雨量。从预计降雨量中提取最小和最大年降雨量,确定了估计的净径流量,这是研究的唯一参数,同时在分析RWH方法时,还分析了Rizal市Barangay San Jose、Antipolo的有限集水区面积(40 - 100 m2)。据估计,在RCP 8.5的临界情景下,每年可收获的净径流量在60.042立方米至234.409立方米之间。该研究收集了最常见的材料和成套收集装置(即雨桶/桶、水箱和蓄水池)的通常容量,以及它们在菲律宾现有和制造的可能位置。通过最小净径流,建议使用55加仑聚乙烯(pe)雨桶/桶,最多建议使用12,000升pe /不锈钢水箱以获得最大净径流。该研究建议考虑诸如需水量、经济性和可靠性因素等参数,以便更好地分析适用于特定研究区域的适当水暖方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Rainwater Harvesting Methods Considering the Impacts of Climate Change
Rainwater harvesting (RWH) has been practiced for a long time but only 4% of the total rainfall amount experienced in the Philippines is utilized. This study then explored on the impacts of climate change and the forecasted rainfall it could generate in a span of 30 years from 2020 – 2050. A local climate model was developed to forecast the annual rainfall for the next 30 years utilizing Representative Concentration Pathway Scenarios 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. Extracting the minimum and maximum annual rainfall from the projected rainfall, the estimated net runoff was determined which is the study’s sole parameter along with a limited catchment area of 40 – 100 m2 in analyzing a RWH method in Barangay San Jose, Antipolo, Rizal. A range of estimated net runoff through the critical scenario of RCP 8.5 was known to be between 60.042 m3 – 234.409 m3 that could be harvested annually. The study has gathered the most common materials and usual capacities of the set collection devices (i.e. rain barrels/drums, tanks and cisterns) and their possible placements available and manufactured in the Philippines. Through the minimum net runoff, a 55-gallon Polyethylene (P.E) rain barrel/drum is suggested and at most, a 12,000-liter P.E/Stainless tank is suggested for the maximum net runoff. The study recommends that parameters like water demand, economy and reliability factors be taken into consideration for better analysis of appropriate RWH methods to be applied in a specific study area.
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