LS-SPP:基于lstm的基于天气预报信息的太阳能发电预测方法

Nhat-Tuan Pham, Nhu-Y Tran-Van, Kim-Hung Le
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引用次数: 1

摘要

太阳辐射是一种无限量的清洁能源,具有巨大的开发潜力。为了有效地利用这一宝贵的资源,太阳能预测的到来显示了将可再生能源纳入电网系统的改进。准确的太阳能预测将提供有用的信息,以确保电网的稳定,获得可再生能源的优势,并最大限度地减少矿产资源的消耗。在本文中,我们介绍了一种新的深度学习模型,即LSTM-Based Solar Power Prediction (LS-SPP),它结合了长短期记忆和循环神经网络(LSTM-RNN)。该模型与两个LSTM层叠加,在历史气象时间序列的基础上产生较高的预测精度。我们在真实数据集上的实际实验表明,LS-SSP模型的性能准确率高达96.78%,高于竞争对手报道的最佳准确率94.19%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LS-SPP: A LSTM-Based Solar Power Prediction Method from Weather Forecast Information
Solar radiation is an unlimited source of clean energy with huge exploitation potential. To effectively exploit this valuable resource, the arrival of the solar forecast has shown an improvement in incorporating renewable energy into the grid system. Having accurate solar prediction would yield useful information to ensure the power grid’s stability, gain the advantage of renewable energy, and minimize mineral resource consumption. In this paper, we introduce a novel deep learning model, namely LSTM-Based Solar Power Prediction (LS-SPP), combining long short-term memory and a recurring neural network (LSTM-RNN). The proposed model is stacked with two LSTM layers to produce a high prediction accuracy based on historical meteorological time series. Our practical experiment on real datasets shows that the LS-SSP model achieves up to 96.78% accuracy in performance, higher than the best of competitors reported about 94.19%.
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