巴西股市是否存在流动性效应?

M. Machado, Otavio Ribeiro de Medeiros
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文的目的是分析巴西股票市场是否存在流动性效应。除了分析流动性效应外,本文还对CAPM和Fama-French三因素模型(1993)解释CAPM的能力进行了评价。为此,我们对1995年至2008年在Bovespa上市的公司进行了分析。根据所得的结果,可以得出结论,无论使用何种代理,巴西市场都存在流动性溢价。月保费变动范围为未经风险调整的0.83% ~ 2.19%,根据CAPM进行风险调整的1.77% ~ 2.78%,根据三因素模型进行风险调整的1.24% ~ 3.04%。人们还注意到,流动性溢价并不局限于1月份,而且在分析中使用不同时期时也没有实质性的修改。鉴于这些证据,本文的假设,即巴西市场存在流动性溢价,不能被拒绝。此外,我们观察到CAPM和三因素模型都不能解释流动性效应。本研究的结果可以促使公司制定缓解流动性成本的政策,即提高议价证券的流动性,从而降低资金成本。通过这样做,公司可以增加其市场价值,提高其证券和股票的流动性,因为资本成本越低,公司的价值越大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does the Liquidity Effect Exist in the Brazilian Stock Market?
The purpose of this article is to analyze whether the liquidity effect exists in the Brazilian stock market. In addition to analyzing the liquidity effect, this article evaluated the capacity of CAPM and the Fama-French three-factor model (1993) in explaining it. For such purpose, the companies with shares traded in Bovespa were analyzed, in the period from 1995 to 2008. According to the results obtained, it can be concluded that there is a liquidity premium in the Brazilian market, regardless of the proxy used. The monthly premium varied from 0.83% to 2.19%, not adjusted for risk, and from 1.77% to 2.78%, adjusted for risk pursuant to CAPM, and from 1.24% to 3.04%, adjusted for risk according to the three-factor model, respectively. It was also observed that the liquidity premium was not restricted to the month of January, and that there were no substantial modifications when different periods were used in the analysis. In view of such evidence, the hypothesis of this article, that there is a liquidity premium in the Brazilian market, cannot be rejected. Moreover, it was observed that both CAPM and the three-factor model fail to explain the liquidity effect. The results obtained in this study can instigate the establishment of corporate policies which alleviate the liquidity costs, i.e., which improve the liquidity of the securities negotiated, reducing, as a result, the capital cost. By doing so, a company can increase its market value, improving the liquidity of its securities and shares, since the lower the capital cost, the greater the value of the company.
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