分析和预测欧洲可持续发展水平

I. Pyshnograiev, I. Tkachenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文重点介绍了在欧洲背景下预测可持续发展水平的研究结果。在分析国内外科学家的科学成果的基础上,认为现有的方法存在一些问题,即使用大量的指标,无法快速估计一个新的对象或时期。考虑到这一事实,本研究旨在构建一个基于有限开放数据的可持续发展水平计算模型,这将大大促进可持续发展水平的评价和预测过程。研究的基础数据来自世界地理信息与可持续发展数据中心和“可持续发展指数”项目。在MS Excel和RStudio应用程序中进行建模和分析。研究结果表明,利用有限的区域发展指标,基于近似模型预测可持续发展水平是可行的,但会导致信息的缺失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis and forecasting the level of the sustainable development in the European context
The article highlights the results of the conducted research on forecasting the level of sustainable development in the European context. Based on the analysis of the scientific achievements of domestic and foreign scientists, it was determined that the existing methodologies had several problems associated with using a large number of indicators, which made it impossible to estimate a new object or period quickly. While considering this fact, the research aimed at constructing a model for calculating the level of sustainable development based on a limited set of open data, which would significantly facilitate the process of its assessment and forecasting. The basis of the research is data from the World Data Center for Geoinformatics and Sustainable Development and the “Sustainable development index” project. Modeling and analysis were carried out in MS Excel and RStudio applications. The obtained results demonstrate that it is possible to predict the level of sustainable development based on the approximation model using a limited set of territorial development indicators, which will lead to the loss of a minimal amount of information.
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