混合威胁背景下2021年波兰-白俄罗斯边境危机的多层次分析

Ondřej Filipec
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文旨在提供波兰-白俄罗斯危机的更深层次的背景,通过混合威胁和混合战争的镜头来解释。对危机的多层次分析评估了四个方面:政治、战略、战术和操作。重点放在执行(作战和战术)维度上,这非常适合分析混合威胁和混合战争的影响。作者认为,危机本身可以被认为是一种混合威胁,但在更广泛的背景下,它是混合战争的一部分和工具之一。提出了一种DIMEFIL分类,用于分析和设计解决混合威胁和战争的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multilevel Analysis of the 2021 Poland-Belarus Border Crisis in the Context of Hybrid Threats
This article aims to provide a deeper context of the Poland-Belarus crisis, which is interpreted through the lens of hybrid threats and hybrid warfare. A multilevel analysis of the crisis assesses four dimensions: political, strategic, tactical, and operational. Emphasis is put on the executive (operational and tactical) dimensions, which are well suitable for analysing the effects of hybrid threats and hybrid warfare. The author argues that the crisis per se may be considered a hybrid threat, but in a broader context, it is a part and one of the tools of hybrid warfare. A DIMEFIL classification is proposed for analysing and designing tools for addressing hybrid threats and warfare.
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