波兰货币政策传导机制——2011年我们知道些什么?

Tomasz Lyziak, O. Demchuk, J. Przystupa, Anna Sznajderska, Ewa Wróbel
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引用次数: 30

摘要

根据报告中提出的实证研究结果和现有文献45,可以得出结论,波兰货币政策传导机制的形式符合波兰经济的结构特征,并与较发达的欧洲经济体(如欧元区)的特征相吻合。尽管波兰的金融中介体系不如欧元区发达,但与欧盟新成员国一样,波兰的特点是刚性程度较低,价格调整更频繁(这是相对较高和更不稳定的通货膨胀的结果),因此没有理由说这些国家的传导机制比欧元区国家弱。波兰货币政策传导机制的特点在过渡时期随着金融体系的发展和货币政策的变化而发生了很大变化,在2004/2005-2007年表现出稳定的迹象。波兰加入欧洲联盟大大减少了宏观经济的不确定性,这是促成这一进程的因素之一。然而,货币政策传导机制受到金融危机的干扰。它对传播机制的影响仍然很大,这一点在传播机制渠道有效性的分析中得到了明显的证明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Poland - What Do We Know in 2011?
In the light of the results of empirical studies presented in the Report and the literature available45 it may be concluded that the form of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland is consistent with structural features of the Polish economy and coincides with those characteristic of more developed European economies, e.g. the euro area. Although the financial intermediation system is less developed than in the euro area, Poland, like the new EU Member States is characterised by a lower degree of rigidity and more frequent price adjustments (as a result of a relatively higher and more volatile inflation), due to which there exist no grounds for stating that the transmission mechanism is weaker in these countries than in the euro area countries. The characteristics of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland, which changed considerably in the transition period along with the development of the financial system and changes in the monetary policy, displayed symptoms of stabilisation in 2004/2005-2007. Poland’s accession to the European Union, resulting in a major reduction of macroeconomic uncertainty, was one of the factors that contributed to this process. The monetary policy transmission mechanism was, however, disturbed by the financial crisis. Its impact on the transmission mechanism remains strong, which is demonstrated notably by the analysis of the effectiveness of transmission mechanism channels.
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