Mehmet Alkanalka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文根据斯蒂芬·沃尔特的“威胁平衡”概念,对2000-2018年期间的美国国家安全战略(NSS)文件进行了分析。之所以选择2000年作为起点,是因为“9·11”恐怖袭击是美国外交政策的历史性转折点,而最后一个涉及的国家安全战略是特朗普政府编制的《2017年国家安全战略》。国防战略(NDS)文件也被考虑在内,以进一步明确政策制定的主导趋势。本文的目的是描绘国家安全保障文件中关键概念和指导原则的演变。可以看出,冷战结束后,国家安全战略的概念发生了转变,不再认为存在大国存在的威胁,新的威胁定义以全球反恐战争为基础。在9/11恐怖袭击之后,这种新方法主导了新千年的第一批国家安全战略。然而,在最近的nss中,又回到了以前的基于威胁的方法,明确提到了中国和俄罗斯等竞争对手的民族国家。最后得出的结论是,大国竞争的传统观念已经回归。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
TERÖRLE SAVAŞTAN BÜYÜK GÜÇLER MÜCADELESİNE GERİ DÖNÜŞ
In this article, selected documents of American national security strategy (NSS) in the 2000-2018 period are analyzed in the light of Stephan Walt’s “balance of threat” concept. Year 2000 was chosen as the starting point since 9/11 terror attacks correspond to a historic turning point in U.S. foreign policy, and the last NSS concerned is NSS 2017, prepared by the Trump administration. National Defense Strategy (NDS) documents are also taken into consideration, to further clarify the dominant trends in policy making. The aim of the article was to plot the evolution of key concepts and guiding principles in the NSS documents. It is seen that there has been a conceptual shift in the NSSs after the Cold War, where no great power existential threat was perceived, and the new threat definition was based on the Global War on Terror (GWOT). This new approach dominated the first NSSs of the new millennium, after the 9/11 terror attacks. However, in the last NSSs, there has been a return to the previous, threat-based approach, where competitor nation-states such as China and Russia are explicitly mentioned. It is concluded that there has been a conceptual return to the classical sense of great power competition.
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