解释立法极端化:考察选举和竞选选区对美国众议院立法行为的影响

Lindsay Nielson, Neil Visalvanich
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摘要

有很多研究试图解释为什么国会议员会这样投票。以前对立法行为的研究既关注了唱名投票,也关注了其他采取立场的措施,并发现这种行为可以用选区、政党和利益集团影响的结合来解释。然而,文献还没有充分说明,议员的点名投票行为在更大程度上是由竞选捐款还是由议员的选举选区驱动的。国会议员在某种程度上对这两个选区都负有责任,因为这两个选区有时可能对立法者提出不同的要求,所以在立法者决定如何对法案投票时,调查哪个群体有更大的影响力是很重要的。利用新数据估算国会议员在竞选期间收到的竞选资金捐款的意识形态,以及第111届和第112届国会竞选选举研究中不同选区的意识形态,我们发现唱名投票在很大程度上受党派关系和议员捐助者的意识形态驱动。这些发现适用于包括民主党人、共和党人、新议员和现任议员在内的一些群体。我们还探讨了这一发现可能对国会代表产生的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Explaining Legislative Extremity: Examining the Effect of Electoral and Campaign Constituencies on Legislative Behavior in the US House
There have been many studies that have attempted to explain why members of Congress vote the way they do. Previous studies of legislative behavior have looked at both roll call votes and other measures of position taking and have found that this behavior can be explained by a combination of constituency, party, and interest group influence. The literature has not yet adequately addressed, however, whether members' roll call voting behavior is driven to a larger degree by campaign donations or by the member's electoral constituency. Members of Congress are beholden to both constituencies in some way, and because these two constituencies may at times place different demands on a legislator it is important to investigate which group has greater pull when the legislator is determining how to vote on a bill. Using new data that estimates the ideology of a member of Congress using the campaign finance donations a member receives during their election campaign, along with measures of the ideology of different electoral constituencies from the Campaign Congressional Election Study in the 111th and 112th Congresses, we find that roll call voting is most driven by party affiliation and the ideology of a member's contributors. These findings hold for a number of subgroups, including Democrats, Republicans, freshmen, and incumbents. We also explore the consequences this finding could have for representation in Congress.
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