基于GIS的金奈行人安全建模与分析

Rohith P. Poyil, A. Misra, R. Murugasan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文分析了影响行人道路交通事故的各种变量,重点分析了日常活动模式和建筑环境(包括场所的土地利用)的影响。研究还根据金奈的行人事故数量开发了一个安全水平模型。首先,总结了影响行人安全水平的11个潜在因素:道路宽度、人行道宽度、车辆平均行驶速度、车流量、行人流量、人行道被侵占面积百分比、十字路口设施的存在、视线距离、行人避难所和中间、照明和路沿。所选道路是金奈城市地区的典型道路。根据调查数据,进行逐步回归分析,以开发可靠的路段行人安全水平模型,适用于绝大多数印度城市地区。研究表明,影响行人安全水平的主要因素包括人行道宽度、车辆平均行驶速度、人行道被侵占面积百分比、行人避难所和中间位置、照明和路缘的存在。本研究采用回归分析方法,结合地理信息系统(GIS),建立行人安全水平预测模型,以行人意外数目预测行人安全水平。将预测的行人事故数量与实际发生的行人事故数量进行了对比验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pedestrian Safety Modelling and Analysis Using GIS in Chennai
This paper analyzes the various variables affecting pedestrian road crashes, placing emphasis on the effect of daily activity patterns and the built environment, including the land use of the places. Study also develops a level of safety model in terms of number of pedestrian accidents in Chennai. First, eleven potential factors influencing pedestrian level of safety are summarized: width of road, width of sidewalk, average running speed of vehicles, vehicular volume, pedestrian volume, percentage of sidewalk area encroached, presence of crossing facilities, sight distance, pedestrian refuge and median, lightings and curb. The selected roads are typical of those prevalent in urban areas of Chennai. With the survey data, a stepwise regression analyses are carried out to develop a reliable pedestrian level of safety model for road segments, suitable for use in the vast majority of Indian urban areas. The study reveals that the factors significantly influencing pedestrian level of safety at road segments including width of sidewalk, average running speed of vehicles, percentage of sidewalk area encroached, presence of pedestrian refuge and median, lightings and curb. A model to predict the pedestrian safety level in terms of number of pedestrian accidents is developed in this study using regression analysis and integrated with GIS to produce a colour coded maps showing the predicted number of pedestrian accidents. The validation has been done by comparing the predicted number of pedestrian accidents with actual number of pedestrian accidents occurred.
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