青年人口与经济增长的长期关系:来自孟加拉国时间序列数据的证据

S. M. Abdullah, S. H. Bidisha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文借助孟加拉国43年的时间序列数据,试图了解青年人口与经济增长之间的长期关系。尽管青年人口对经济具有重要意义,但青年人口对经济的相对份额与经济增长之间的长期关系尚未得到更详细的分析。在此背景下,本文应用了约翰森协整分析,其中估计结果表明,从长远来看,青年人口的相应比例增加将导致GDP增长的上升。考虑到人口构成对经济增长的重要性,估计结果强调了加大对青年发展项目(包括高等教育和技能培训项目)的公共投资的相关政策的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Long Run Relationship between Youth Population and Economic Growth: Evidences from Time Series Data of Bangladesh
With the help of forty three years time series data of Bangladesh, this paper attempts to understand the long term relationship between youth population and economic growth. Despite the significance of youth population to the economy, the long run relationship between the relative share of youth population to the economy and economic growth has not been analyzed in greater detail. In this context, this paper has applied Johansen cointegration analysis where the estimation result suggests that a consequential and proportional increase in youth population will lead to a rise in GDP growth in the long run. Given the significance of demographic composition on economic growth, the estimation results emphasized the importance of policies related to greater public investment in youth development programs including those of tertiary education and skill training initiatives.
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