基于超图的交通流时空预测深度学习模型

Yi Wang, Di Zhu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

交通流预测作为智能交通系统的重要任务之一,由于其复杂的时空特征,具有一定的挑战性。考虑历史空间和时间依赖关系对于预测一个地理单元未来一段时间的交通至关重要。现有的作品主要采用图形来表示空间单元的不规则布局,其中节点是空间单元的信号,边是单元之间的连接强度。对于当代基于深度学习的时空预测任务,时间依赖性可以通过卷积神经网络或递归神经网络很好地建模,空间依赖性特征通常使用图卷积网络捕获。然而,经典的图结构并不能完全代表交通网络中空间关系的复杂性,因为一个位置的空间格局可能同时受到多组上下文信息的影响,而图边只能描述两个节点之间的联系。此外,大多数现有模型忽略了时空特征之间的同步依赖关系,导致位置的时空特征不匹配。针对这些问题,提出了一种基于超图的深度学习模型,即同步超图卷积网络(SHGCN),以更好地捕捉时空知识之间的复杂关系。基于LSTM单元以Seq2seq架构的形式集成,设计了一种新的同步超图单元(SH-Cell)。然后,我们构建了动态超图,利用SH-Cells自适应捕捉同步时空依赖性。实验结果表明,在两个真实世界的公共流量数据集上,SHGCN优于知名的基准测试。该研究为提高交通流预测精度,理解复杂时空关系,实现更可靠的城市交通管理提供了新的思路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SHGCN: a hypergraph-based deep learning model for spatiotemporal traffic flow prediction
Traffic flow prediction, as one of the prominent tasks in intelligent transportation systems, is challenging due to underlying complex spatiotemporal characteristics. Consideration of historical spatial and temporal dependencies is essential for the traffic prediction of a geographic unit for a future time period. Existing works mainly adopted graphs to represent the irregular layout of spatial units, where nodes are signal of spatial units and edges are link strengths between units. For contemporary deep learning based spatiotemporal prediction tasks, the temporal dependence can be well modeled via convolution neural network or recurrent neural network, and spatial dependence features are commonly captured using graph convolution networks. However, classic graph structures cannot fully represent the complex nature of spatial relationships in transportation networks, because the spatial pattern of a location might be influenced by multiple sets of contextual information simultaneously, while a graph edge can only describe the linkage between two nodes. In addition, most existing models ignore the synchronous dependence between temporal and spatial features, leading to a mismatch between the temporal and spatial features of a location. Based on such problems, a hypergraph-based deep learning model, namely synchronous hypergraph convolutional network (SHGCN), is proposed to better capture the complex relationships between spatial and temporal knowledge. A novel synchronous hypergraph cell (SH-Cell) is designed based on LSTM cells integrated in the form of a Seq2seq architecture. Then, we construct dynamic hypergraphs to capture the synchronous spatiotemporal dependence adaptively using SH-Cells. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of SHGCN over well-known benchmarks on two real-world publicly-available traffic datasets. This research provides new insights for improving the traffic flow prediction accuracy and understanding complex spatiotemporal relationships towards a more reliable urban traffic management.
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