异构工人的最优生命周期组合

F. Bagliano, C. Fugazza, G. Nicodano
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引用次数: 28

摘要

除了股票之外,家庭投资组合还包括高风险债券,并对永久性劳动收入冲击做出反应。本文将这些特征引入到一个生命周期的设定中,并证明了在实际的参数组合下,最优股票投资是在退休前年龄不变或增加。这种生命周期倒置的驱动因素是社会保障养老金不确定性的解决,这增加了投资者的风险偏好。如果永久性劳动收入冲击和股票回报之间的小的正相关同时与实际高度的风险厌恶相匹配,就会发生这种情况。没有这种组合,就得到了典型的向下倾斜的剖面。忽视不同工人之间最优投资概况的差异会导致巨大的福利损失,约占其一生消费的15-30%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Life-Cycle Portfolios for Heterogeneous Workers
Household portfolios include risky bonds, beyond stocks, and respond to permanent labour income shocks. This paper brings these features into a life-cycle setting, and shows that optimal stock investment is constant or increasing in age before retirement for realistic parameter combinations. The driver of such inversion in the life-cycle profile is the resolution of uncertainty regarding social security pension, which increases the investor’s risk appetite. This occurs if a small positive contemporaneous correlation between permanent labour income shocks and stock returns is matched by a realistically high degree of risk aversion. Absent this combination, the typical downward sloping profile obtains. Overlooking differences in optimal investment profiles across heterogeneous workers results in large welfare losses, in the order of 15-30% of lifetime consumption.
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