八世纪中央文明/世界体系的权力配置

D. Wilkinson
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A previous article has coded this system from 1500 BC to 700 BC, and previous papers have examined the system from AD 1200 to date. In the current paper, the Central system’s power structure is coded at 10-year intervals 1100-1200. The century is entirely multipolar, although there is significant turnover among actors and churning of borders. The Power Configurations of the Central Civilization/ World System in the Twelfth Century This paper is the fifteenth a series in which the political careers of civilizations/world systems receive snapshot codings of their overall power structures at feasible intervals. The narratives are produced by collating histories with large frames of reference. The codings are done using a nominal variable, polarity, with seven available values: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, (nonhegemonic) unipolarity, hegemony and empire. Previous articles in the series have examined the Indic system 550 BC-AD 1800, the Far Eastern 1025 BC – AD 1850, the Southwest Asian c 2700 – 1500 BC, the Northeast African c. 2625-1500 BC. The Northeast African and Southwest Asian systems and sequences merged c. 1500 BC to form the Central system. A previous article has coded this system from 1500 BC to 700 BC (Wilkinson, 2004), and previous papers have examined the system from AD 1200 to date. In the current paper, the Central system’s power structure is coded at 10-year intervals 1100-1200. The century is entirely multipolar. This paper continues work in the making and analysis of data sequences for the power structures of world systems which has been previously published or presented to WHS sessions at ISA. The concept of the civilization/world system as fundamentally a politicomilitary network of cities (hence also a “civilization”), containing a plurality of cultures, polities and “identities,” and contained in a wider, more loosely linked world-economy or “oikumene,” has been previously developed (1992, 1993) and will not be elaborated here. Similarly, the “Central” world system, the specific target of this study, has been elsewhere (1987) identified and bounded, and thereby distinguished from its neighbors (with which it converged and merged in the modern era), such as the West African, East Asian, Indic and other world system; accordingly, only a brief discussion of boundary-drawing and of the 12th century boundaries of the Central system will be provided here SPATIAL BOUNDARIES OF THE CENTRAL CIVILIZATION/WORLD SYSTEM DURING THE 12TH CENTURY For the purposes of power structure analysis, which necessarily focuses upon politico-military networks (PMNs) and the interactions of the Powers therein, the spatial boundaries of a “world system” must be determined by the intensity of politico-military interactions between nodal points. Given that we begin examination of a PMN at the western fringe of the northwest sector of the continental Old World (e.g. Britain, France, Iberia, Morocco), it will readily be seen when we construct (below) a narrative of politico-military transactions that in the 12th century all of “Europe” --the northern fringe (Norway, Sweden, the Baltic lands), Central Europe, Italy, Eastern Europe with the Slavic lands, the Balkans—is part of the same system. So are North Africa and Egypt, Anatolia and Syria, the Caucasus, Mesopotamia, northern Arabia, Iran, and even western Central Asia east of the Caspian Sea (spoken of here as the “East End” of the Central system during the period under study). THE CODING PROCESS Power configurations in the Central system were coded at 10-year intervals from AD 1100 to 1200. A narrative of political-power behavior was first constructed, and broken down by decades, so that the information provided for each decade describes such power behavior during that time period, and implies the coding, or change of coding, of the systemwide structure of power at the end of the decade; the coding applies, not to the entire decade, but to the single year by which it is dated. The codings employed were: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity (non-hegemonic), hegemony, and empire. A \"nonpolarity\" coding would be rejected for any period in which no \"great power\" behavior is detected. An \"empire\" coding is rejected for any period in which the vast majority of the system's territory and population is not under the control of a single centralized state. The historical narratives of great power interaction provide the evidence for distinguishing the other five \"intermediate\" codings of multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity and hegemony. A \"hegemonic\" coding would be produced by e.g. a single state making a claim that the rest acknowledged its supremacy, but only if such a solitary claim were combined with tributary, placatory, submissive, followership behaviors on the part of other states, especially former great powers. Where two or more states assert and evince such spheres of influence, of comparable dimensions, bipolar, tripolar and multipolar codings are appropriate, depending upon the numbers of such states and spheres. Evidence of non-hegemonic unipolarity would be found where e.g. only a single state makes supremacy claims, and manages to extend its sphere of influence disproportionately to that of any other state, but its claims are nonetheless resisted or ignored by many other states. Even without any explicit diplomatic or monumental claim, the recorded sphere and results of politico-military operations provides significant evidence of the relative status of states at various moments in the system's history. States become relevant to the power-structure coding process when they appear in the histories, ordinarily first in the histories of already established great powers, especially their neighbors, and cease to be relevant when they disappear from such histories, even their own. This is especially true of the \"great powers\" upon whose existence and relations the \"intermediate\" codings most depend. The general procedure adopted in this section is to provide a decade by decade historical recapitulation of the power politics of the Central world system (wars, domination, rivalry, rebellion). This narrative is used to derive a coding for the system's power structure at intervals of a decade. THE FIELD OF ACTION AND SYSTEM STRUCTURE OF THE CENTRAL SYSTEM IN AD 1100 (T.A. Lessman; not to scale) AD 1100 is in two ways idiosyncratic. There is a remarkable number of small powers worth mentioning because a few (Aragon, Venice, Serbia) will rise to greater stature, while many others will become targets of expansion or objects of contention (e.g. the Anatolian emirates and Levantine Crusader states). 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The Power Configurations of the Central Civilization/ World System in the Twelfth Century This paper is the fifteenth a series in which the political careers of civilizations/world systems receive snapshot codings of their overall power structures at feasible intervals. The narratives are produced by collating histories with large frames of reference. The codings are done using a nominal variable, polarity, with seven available values: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, (nonhegemonic) unipolarity, hegemony and empire. Previous articles in the series have examined the Indic system 550 BC-AD 1800, the Far Eastern 1025 BC – AD 1850, the Southwest Asian c 2700 – 1500 BC, the Northeast African c. 2625-1500 BC. The Northeast African and Southwest Asian systems and sequences merged c. 1500 BC to form the Central system. A previous article has coded this system from 1500 BC to 700 BC (Wilkinson, 2004), and previous papers have examined the system from AD 1200 to date. In the current paper, the Central system’s power structure is coded at 10-year intervals 1100-1200. The century is entirely multipolar. This paper continues work in the making and analysis of data sequences for the power structures of world systems which has been previously published or presented to WHS sessions at ISA. The concept of the civilization/world system as fundamentally a politicomilitary network of cities (hence also a “civilization”), containing a plurality of cultures, polities and “identities,” and contained in a wider, more loosely linked world-economy or “oikumene,” has been previously developed (1992, 1993) and will not be elaborated here. Similarly, the “Central” world system, the specific target of this study, has been elsewhere (1987) identified and bounded, and thereby distinguished from its neighbors (with which it converged and merged in the modern era), such as the West African, East Asian, Indic and other world system; accordingly, only a brief discussion of boundary-drawing and of the 12th century boundaries of the Central system will be provided here SPATIAL BOUNDARIES OF THE CENTRAL CIVILIZATION/WORLD SYSTEM DURING THE 12TH CENTURY For the purposes of power structure analysis, which necessarily focuses upon politico-military networks (PMNs) and the interactions of the Powers therein, the spatial boundaries of a “world system” must be determined by the intensity of politico-military interactions between nodal points. Given that we begin examination of a PMN at the western fringe of the northwest sector of the continental Old World (e.g. Britain, France, Iberia, Morocco), it will readily be seen when we construct (below) a narrative of politico-military transactions that in the 12th century all of “Europe” --the northern fringe (Norway, Sweden, the Baltic lands), Central Europe, Italy, Eastern Europe with the Slavic lands, the Balkans—is part of the same system. So are North Africa and Egypt, Anatolia and Syria, the Caucasus, Mesopotamia, northern Arabia, Iran, and even western Central Asia east of the Caspian Sea (spoken of here as the “East End” of the Central system during the period under study). THE CODING PROCESS Power configurations in the Central system were coded at 10-year intervals from AD 1100 to 1200. A narrative of political-power behavior was first constructed, and broken down by decades, so that the information provided for each decade describes such power behavior during that time period, and implies the coding, or change of coding, of the systemwide structure of power at the end of the decade; the coding applies, not to the entire decade, but to the single year by which it is dated. The codings employed were: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity (non-hegemonic), hegemony, and empire. A \\\"nonpolarity\\\" coding would be rejected for any period in which no \\\"great power\\\" behavior is detected. An \\\"empire\\\" coding is rejected for any period in which the vast majority of the system's territory and population is not under the control of a single centralized state. The historical narratives of great power interaction provide the evidence for distinguishing the other five \\\"intermediate\\\" codings of multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity and hegemony. A \\\"hegemonic\\\" coding would be produced by e.g. a single state making a claim that the rest acknowledged its supremacy, but only if such a solitary claim were combined with tributary, placatory, submissive, followership behaviors on the part of other states, especially former great powers. Where two or more states assert and evince such spheres of influence, of comparable dimensions, bipolar, tripolar and multipolar codings are appropriate, depending upon the numbers of such states and spheres. Evidence of non-hegemonic unipolarity would be found where e.g. only a single state makes supremacy claims, and manages to extend its sphere of influence disproportionately to that of any other state, but its claims are nonetheless resisted or ignored by many other states. Even without any explicit diplomatic or monumental claim, the recorded sphere and results of politico-military operations provides significant evidence of the relative status of states at various moments in the system's history. States become relevant to the power-structure coding process when they appear in the histories, ordinarily first in the histories of already established great powers, especially their neighbors, and cease to be relevant when they disappear from such histories, even their own. This is especially true of the \\\"great powers\\\" upon whose existence and relations the \\\"intermediate\\\" codings most depend. The general procedure adopted in this section is to provide a decade by decade historical recapitulation of the power politics of the Central world system (wars, domination, rivalry, rebellion). This narrative is used to derive a coding for the system's power structure at intervals of a decade. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文是一个系列的第十五篇,在这个系列中,文明/世界体系的政治生涯在可行的时间间隔内获得其整体权力结构的快照编码。这些叙述是通过在大的参考框架下整理历史而产生的。编码是使用名义变量极性完成的,极性有七个可用值:非极性,多极性,三极性,双极性,(非霸权)单极性,霸权和帝国。本系列之前的文章考察了公元前550年至公元1800年的印度体系,公元前1025年至1850年的远东体系,公元前2700年至1500年的西南亚体系,公元前2625年至1500年的东北非洲体系。东北非洲和西南亚洲的系统和序列在公元前1500年合并形成了中央系统。之前的一篇文章从公元前1500年到公元前700年对这个系统进行了编码,之前的论文研究了从公元1200年到现在的系统。在目前的论文中,中央系统的电力结构每隔10年编码1100-1200。这个世纪完全是多极的,尽管行动者之间有很大的变动,边界也在不断变动。12世纪中央文明/世界体系的权力结构本文是《文明/世界体系的政治生涯在可行的时间间隔内获得其整体权力结构的快照编码》系列的第十五篇。这些叙述是通过在大的参考框架下整理历史而产生的。编码是使用名义变量极性完成的,极性有七个可用值:非极性,多极性,三极性,双极性,(非霸权)单极性,霸权和帝国。本系列之前的文章考察了公元前550年至公元1800年的印度体系,公元前1025年至1850年的远东体系,公元前2700年至1500年的西南亚体系,公元前2625年至1500年的东北非洲体系。东北非洲和西南亚洲的系统和序列在公元前1500年合并形成了中央系统。之前的一篇文章从公元前1500年到公元前700年对这个系统进行了编码(Wilkinson, 2004),之前的论文从公元1200年到现在检查了这个系统。在目前的论文中,中央系统的电力结构每隔10年编码1100-1200。这个世纪完全是多极的。本文继续对世界系统权力结构的数据序列进行制作和分析,这些数据序列已在ISA的WHS会议上发表或提交。文明/世界体系的概念从根本上说是一个城市的政治军事网络(因此也是一个“文明”),包含了多种文化、政治和“身份”,并包含在一个更广泛、更松散的世界经济或“oikumene”中,这一概念已经得到了发展(1992年,1993年),这里不再详细阐述。同样,本研究的具体目标“中心”世界体系也在其他地方(1987年)得到了识别和界定,从而与其邻国(在现代与之融合和融合),如西非、东亚、印度和其他世界体系区分开来;因此,为了分析权力结构,这里只简要讨论12世纪中央文明/世界体系的疆界划定和12世纪中央体系的疆界,这种分析必然侧重于政治-军事网络及其中大国的相互作用。“世界体系”的空间边界必须由节点之间政治军事互动的强度决定。考虑到我们在旧大陆西北区的西部边缘(如英国、法国、伊比利亚半岛、摩洛哥)开始考察PMN,当我们(在下面)构建一个政治-军事交易的叙述时,很容易看到,在12世纪,所有“欧洲”——北部边缘(挪威、瑞典、波罗的海地区)、中欧、意大利、东欧与斯拉夫地区、巴尔干半岛——都是同一体系的一部分。北非和埃及,安纳托利亚和叙利亚,高加索,美索不达米亚,阿拉伯北部,伊朗,甚至里海以东的中亚西部(在研究期间被称为中央系统的“东端”)也是如此。从公元1100年到1200年,中央系统的电力配置每隔10年进行一次编码。首先构建了政治权力行为的叙事,并按年代进行分解,因此每个十年提供的信息描述了该时期的权力行为,并暗示了该十年结束时全系统权力结构的编码或编码的变化;这种编码并不适用于整个十年,而是适用于其标注日期的单一年份。使用的编码是:非极性,多极性,三极性,双极性,单极性(非霸权),霸权和帝国。 “非极性”编码将在没有检测到“大国”行为的任何时期内被拒绝。如果系统的绝大多数领土和人口不受单一中央集权国家的控制,那么“帝国”编码就会被拒绝。大国互动的历史叙事为区分多极、三极、双极、单极和霸权这五种“中间”编码提供了依据。一个“霸权”的编码会产生,例如,一个国家声称其他国家承认其至高无上,但只有当这种单独的主张与其他国家,特别是前大国的朝贡、安抚、顺从和追随行为相结合时。如果两个或两个以上的国家主张并显示出这种规模相当的势力范围,则根据这种国家和势力范围的数量,采用双极、三极和多极编码是适当的。非霸权单极的证据可以在以下地方找到:例如,只有一个国家提出至高无上的主张,并设法将其影响范围扩大到与任何其他国家不成比例的范围,但它的主张仍然受到许多其他国家的抵制或忽视。即使没有任何明确的外交或纪念性声明,政治军事行动的记录范围和结果也为各国在该体系历史不同时刻的相对地位提供了重要证据。当国家出现在历史中时,它们就与权力结构编码过程相关,通常首先出现在已经建立的大国,特别是其邻国的历史中,当它们从这些历史中消失时,甚至从它们自己的历史中消失时,它们就不再相关。对于“大国”来说尤其如此,“中间”编码最依赖于它们的存在和关系。本节采用的一般程序是对中央世界体系的权力政治(战争、统治、竞争、叛乱)进行十年又十年的历史重述。这种叙述被用来每隔十年推导出系统权力结构的编码。公元1100年中央系统的作用领域和系统结构(T.A. Lessman)公元1100年在两个方面是特殊的。有相当数量的小国值得一提,因为少数国家(阿拉贡、威尼斯、塞尔维亚)将崛起,而其他许多国家将成为扩张的目标或争夺的对象(如安纳托利亚酋长国和地中海十字军国家)。有相当数量的大国将经历强弱的快速循环,进入和退出大国地位,原因是继承斗争和国内冲突造成的间歇性瘫痪。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Power Configurations of the Central Civilization/World System in the Eighth Century
This paper is the fifteenth in a series in which the political careers of civilizations/world systems receive snapshot codings of their overall power structures at feasible intervals. The narratives are produced by collating histories with large frames of reference. The codings are done using a nominal variable, polarity, with seven available values: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, (nonhegemonic) unipolarity, hegemony and empire. Previous articles in the series have examined the Indic system 550 BC-AD 1800, the Far Eastern 1025 BC – AD 1850, the Southwest Asian c 2700 – 1500 BC, the Northeast African c. 2625-1500 BC. The Northeast African and Southwest Asian systems and sequences merged c. 1500 BC to form the Central system. A previous article has coded this system from 1500 BC to 700 BC, and previous papers have examined the system from AD 1200 to date. In the current paper, the Central system’s power structure is coded at 10-year intervals 1100-1200. The century is entirely multipolar, although there is significant turnover among actors and churning of borders. The Power Configurations of the Central Civilization/ World System in the Twelfth Century This paper is the fifteenth a series in which the political careers of civilizations/world systems receive snapshot codings of their overall power structures at feasible intervals. The narratives are produced by collating histories with large frames of reference. The codings are done using a nominal variable, polarity, with seven available values: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, (nonhegemonic) unipolarity, hegemony and empire. Previous articles in the series have examined the Indic system 550 BC-AD 1800, the Far Eastern 1025 BC – AD 1850, the Southwest Asian c 2700 – 1500 BC, the Northeast African c. 2625-1500 BC. The Northeast African and Southwest Asian systems and sequences merged c. 1500 BC to form the Central system. A previous article has coded this system from 1500 BC to 700 BC (Wilkinson, 2004), and previous papers have examined the system from AD 1200 to date. In the current paper, the Central system’s power structure is coded at 10-year intervals 1100-1200. The century is entirely multipolar. This paper continues work in the making and analysis of data sequences for the power structures of world systems which has been previously published or presented to WHS sessions at ISA. The concept of the civilization/world system as fundamentally a politicomilitary network of cities (hence also a “civilization”), containing a plurality of cultures, polities and “identities,” and contained in a wider, more loosely linked world-economy or “oikumene,” has been previously developed (1992, 1993) and will not be elaborated here. Similarly, the “Central” world system, the specific target of this study, has been elsewhere (1987) identified and bounded, and thereby distinguished from its neighbors (with which it converged and merged in the modern era), such as the West African, East Asian, Indic and other world system; accordingly, only a brief discussion of boundary-drawing and of the 12th century boundaries of the Central system will be provided here SPATIAL BOUNDARIES OF THE CENTRAL CIVILIZATION/WORLD SYSTEM DURING THE 12TH CENTURY For the purposes of power structure analysis, which necessarily focuses upon politico-military networks (PMNs) and the interactions of the Powers therein, the spatial boundaries of a “world system” must be determined by the intensity of politico-military interactions between nodal points. Given that we begin examination of a PMN at the western fringe of the northwest sector of the continental Old World (e.g. Britain, France, Iberia, Morocco), it will readily be seen when we construct (below) a narrative of politico-military transactions that in the 12th century all of “Europe” --the northern fringe (Norway, Sweden, the Baltic lands), Central Europe, Italy, Eastern Europe with the Slavic lands, the Balkans—is part of the same system. So are North Africa and Egypt, Anatolia and Syria, the Caucasus, Mesopotamia, northern Arabia, Iran, and even western Central Asia east of the Caspian Sea (spoken of here as the “East End” of the Central system during the period under study). THE CODING PROCESS Power configurations in the Central system were coded at 10-year intervals from AD 1100 to 1200. A narrative of political-power behavior was first constructed, and broken down by decades, so that the information provided for each decade describes such power behavior during that time period, and implies the coding, or change of coding, of the systemwide structure of power at the end of the decade; the coding applies, not to the entire decade, but to the single year by which it is dated. The codings employed were: nonpolarity, multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity (non-hegemonic), hegemony, and empire. A "nonpolarity" coding would be rejected for any period in which no "great power" behavior is detected. An "empire" coding is rejected for any period in which the vast majority of the system's territory and population is not under the control of a single centralized state. The historical narratives of great power interaction provide the evidence for distinguishing the other five "intermediate" codings of multipolarity, tripolarity, bipolarity, unipolarity and hegemony. A "hegemonic" coding would be produced by e.g. a single state making a claim that the rest acknowledged its supremacy, but only if such a solitary claim were combined with tributary, placatory, submissive, followership behaviors on the part of other states, especially former great powers. Where two or more states assert and evince such spheres of influence, of comparable dimensions, bipolar, tripolar and multipolar codings are appropriate, depending upon the numbers of such states and spheres. Evidence of non-hegemonic unipolarity would be found where e.g. only a single state makes supremacy claims, and manages to extend its sphere of influence disproportionately to that of any other state, but its claims are nonetheless resisted or ignored by many other states. Even without any explicit diplomatic or monumental claim, the recorded sphere and results of politico-military operations provides significant evidence of the relative status of states at various moments in the system's history. States become relevant to the power-structure coding process when they appear in the histories, ordinarily first in the histories of already established great powers, especially their neighbors, and cease to be relevant when they disappear from such histories, even their own. This is especially true of the "great powers" upon whose existence and relations the "intermediate" codings most depend. The general procedure adopted in this section is to provide a decade by decade historical recapitulation of the power politics of the Central world system (wars, domination, rivalry, rebellion). This narrative is used to derive a coding for the system's power structure at intervals of a decade. THE FIELD OF ACTION AND SYSTEM STRUCTURE OF THE CENTRAL SYSTEM IN AD 1100 (T.A. Lessman; not to scale) AD 1100 is in two ways idiosyncratic. There is a remarkable number of small powers worth mentioning because a few (Aragon, Venice, Serbia) will rise to greater stature, while many others will become targets of expansion or objects of contention (e.g. the Anatolian emirates and Levantine Crusader states). And there are a fair number of large states which will pass through rapid cycles of strength and weakness, into and out of great power status, by reason of intermittent paralysis caused by succession struggles and civil strife.
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