国家和行业的经济重要性排名

Wei Li, D. Kenett, K. Yamasaki, Eugene Stanley
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引用次数: 15

摘要

在当前全球股市相互依赖的时代,全球金融村越来越容易受到系统性崩溃的影响。最近的全球金融危机凸显了理解和量化世界各经济体之间相互依赖关系、开发新的有效风险评估方法以及提供缓解方案的必要性。我们提出了一个量化全球市场相互依赖关系和评估全球金融网络风险水平的方法框架。由此产生的信息将使政策和决策者能够更好地衡量、理解和维护金融稳定。我们使用这种方法,根据每个行业和国家的失败所造成的全球损害,对其经济重要性进行排名。我们的量化结果揭示了中国在全球经济中对包括美国在内的其他经济体日益增长的经济主导地位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ranking the Economic Importance of Countries and Industries
In the current era of worldwide stock market interdependencies, the global financial village has become increasingly vulnerable to systemic collapse. The recent global financial crisis has highlighted the necessity of understanding and quantifying interdependencies among the world's economies, developing new effective approaches to risk evaluation, and providing mitigating solutions. We present a methodological framework for quantifying interdependencies in the global market and for evaluating risk levels in the world-wide financial network. The resulting information will enable policy and decision makers to better measure, understand, and maintain financial stability. We use the methodology to rank the economic importance of each industry and country according to the global damage that would result from their failure. Our quantitative results shed new light on China's increasing economic dominance over other economies, including that of the USA, to the global economy.
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