GNSS-IPW观测对NGFS的影响

C. Johny, V. S. Prasad
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摘要

在业务天气预报和天气气候研究中,需要高精度、高时空分辨率的水汽估算。数值天气预报模式中的湿度表示不足以预测中尺度降水事件,对流层中高层湿度的准确信息决定了深层对流过程的强度、有效性和寿命。全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)通过将GPS接收器与气象传感器置于同一位置,提供了一种以低运行成本连续测量大气湿度的方法。研究了2014年5 - 6月NOAA-NWS和EUMETNET GPS-IPW观测资料同化对NCMRWF GFS预报的影响。GPS-IPW观测同化的影响不仅局限于GPS-IPW网密集区域,在其他区域也可以看到。IPW观测的吸收影响了印度季风区的降雨预报,尽管该地区的IPW站很少。同化对温度、风和湿度的影响是不均匀的,在不同地区也有所不同。GPS-IPW观测对单个降雨事件的预报有较大影响,模式中综合可降水量较大的区域对降水预报影响较大。在印度,MoES已经建立了许多GPS-IPW站,还有一些正在筹备中。讨论了MoES目前观测的质量和未来GPS-IPW站的计划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of GNSS-IPW observations on NGFS
The accurate estimation of water vapour with high spatial and temporal resolution is needed for operational weather forecasts and weather and climate research. Moisture representation in numerical weather prediction models is inadequate for forecasting meso-scale precipitation events and accurate information of middle and upper tropospheric moisture determines strength, effectiveness and longevity deep convective processes. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) provides a way for measuring atmospheric humidity continuously at a low operational cost by co-locating GPS receiver with meteorological sensor. Impact of assimilation of GPS-IPW observations from NOAA-NWS and EUMETNET network on NCMRWF GFS forecast is investigated during May-June period in 2014. Impact of assimilation of GPS-IPW observations are not only confined to the regions of dense GPS-IPW network, but can be seen in other regions also. Ingestion of IPW observations impacted prediction of rainfall over the Indian monsoon region even though very few IPW stations located in the region. Impact of assimilation is not uniform on temperature, wind and humidity and different over different region. GPS-IPW observations can impact forecast of individual rainfall events at large and major impact on rainfall forecast is seen in the regions of large integrated precipitable water in the model. In India MoES has already setup many GPS-IPW stations and also some more are in the pipeline . The quality of these present observations from MoES and plans for the future GPS-IPW stations are discussed.
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