基于PCA-XGBoost的汾渭平原雾霾风险评价及趋势演变

Hongbin Dai, Guang-qiu Huang, Huibin Zeng, Rongchuan Yu, JingJing Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据区域灾害系统理论,选取汾渭平原的雾霾风险评价指标,从致灾环境的敏感性、雾霾组分的危害性、承灾体的脆弱性三个方面对城市雾霾危害进行有效研究。采用主成分分析法(PCA)对汾渭平原城市雾霾危害风险等级进行了计算。采用极值梯度提升法(XGBoost)对汾渭平原城市群雾霾风险进行定量评价,探讨PM2.5时空分布格局及其变化趋势。结果表明,西安市雾霾风险指数最高,PCA-XGBoost模型在3个评价指标中表现最好。影响雾霾的主要因素是经济和人口密度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Haze Risk Assessment and Trend Evolution in Fenwei Plain Based on PCA-XGBoost
According to the regional disaster system theory, haze risk assessment indicators for the Fenwei Plain were chosen to effectively study the urban haze hazards in terms of the sensitivity of the disaster-causing environment, the hazard of haze components, and the vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies. The risk level of haze hazards in Fenwei Plain cities was calculated using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). A quantitative assessment of the haze risk in the Fenwei Plain urban agglomeration was carried out using the extreme gradient boosting method (XGBoost) to investigate the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of PM2.5 and its trends. The results show that Xi'an exhibited the highest haze risk index and the PCA-XGBoost model performed best in the three evaluation indicators. The main factors affecting haze are the economy and population density.
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