分析复杂系统

R. Stevens
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引用次数: 19

摘要

国防部,像其他政府机构和全球商业社区一样,面临着越来越复杂的挑战,这些挑战不能由独立的系统来应对。这导致了对越来越多的可互操作和相互依赖的系统的依赖,这些系统结合了多个组织和功能能力来实现和覆盖任务。这就是开发系统的动机——系统的系统、企业系统,甚至扩展的企业系统。这篇论文集中在这类系统的工程上:一个需要考虑不断增长的规模、底层技术变化的快速步伐、系统交互的复杂性,以及可能最重要的共享所有权和控制的过程。我们假设设计这些系统本质上不同于设计大规模但本质上是确定性的系统。关于正在发展的系统的决定不仅要考虑到技术和方案方面,而且还要考虑到政治、业务和经济方面。本文提出了一种用于分析大型系统工程开发中的复杂性和不确定性的诊断工具,并从其应用中提供了一些经验教训。在这些见解的基础上,我们提出了一种针对手头特定情况的定制工程和获取策略和实践的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Profiling Complex Systems
The Department of Defense, like other government agencies and indeed the global business community, faces increasingly complex challenges that cannot be met by stand-alone systems. This has led to growing reliance on increasingly interoperable and interdependent systems that combine multiple organizational and functional capabilities to achieve and overarching mission. This is the motivation for developing systems- of-systems, enterprise systems, and even extended enterprise systems. This paper focuses on the engineering of this class of systems: a process that demands consideration of increasing scale, the rapid pace of change of the underlying technologies, the complexity of system interactions, and, perhaps most important, shared ownership and control. We hypothesize that engineering these systems is inherently different from engineering large-scale but essentially deterministic systems. Decisions about the system(s) under development have to consider not only the technical and programmatic dimensions but also the political, operational and economic contexts. This paper presents a diagnostic tool for profiling complexity and uncertainty in large scale system engineering developments and provides some lessons learned from its application. On the basis of these insights, we propose an approach to tailoring engineering and acquisition strategies and practices to the specific circumstances at hand.
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