亚洲价值链下游供应商商业周期协同运动

Siow Hui Sian, S. Kaliappan, S. Ibrahim, N. Naseem
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摘要

本研究评估了亚洲价值链中单个下游供应商(东南亚国家联盟)与上游供应商(中国和日本)之间的双边经济周期协同运动。实证结果表明,贸易强度对区域经济周期联动具有负向影响,而贸易联动具有正向影响。此外,价值链贸易对经济周期协同运动的影响在短期内比在长期内更为明显。JEL分类:F15, F16
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Downstream Suppliers’ Business Cycle Co-movement in Asian Value Chains
This study assessed the bilateral business cycle co-movement between the individual downstream suppliers (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and upstream supplier (China and Japan) in Asian value chain. The empirical findings suggest that trade intensity negatively impacted the regional business cycle co-movement, while trade linkage has positive impacts. Moreover, the impact of value chain trade on business cycle co-movement is more apparent in the short run than in the long run. JEL Classification: F15, F16
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