基于R-Vine SCAR模型的汇率、大宗商品和巴西股市的依赖动态

Daniel Henrique Salgado, Osvaldo Candido
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文的目的是评估巴西实际汇率,商品价格和巴西股票市场之间的依赖动态使用正则藤结合随机自回归copula模型。结果表明,巴西金融市场强烈依赖于美元(USD)、巴西石油公司(Petrobras)的股票价格和石油价格,构成这些市场的变量的依赖动态是不稳定的,并且随着时间的推移持续存在。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dependence Dynamics Among Exchange Rates, Commodities and the Brazilian Stock Market Using the R-Vine SCAR Model
The objective of this paper is to assess the dependence dynamics among Brazilian real exchange rates, commodity prices and the Brazilian stock market using a regular vine copula combined with the stochastic autoregressive copula model. The results suggest that the Brazilian financial markets are strongly dependent on the US dollar (USD), Petrobras stock prices and oil prices, and the dependence dynamics of the variables that comprise these markets are volatile and persistent over time.
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