基于机器学习技术的海洋双壳类生境预测与知识提取

A. B. Maravillas, L. Feliscuzo, J. A. Nogra
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摘要

物种分布模型(SDMs)是分析物种与环境关系的有力工具。SDM结果可以深入了解物种对给定栖息地条件的反应,因此根据其预测性能和栖息地信息比较SDM至关重要。由于人为活动和自然干扰,海洋双壳类动物的栖息地受到严重威胁,其丰富的生物多样性资源正在不断丧失。保护这些物种需要详细的栖息地空间分布,如栖息地适宜性图。采用最大熵(Maximum Entropy)、随机森林(Random Forest)和支持向量机(Support Vector machine)三种机器学习方法和人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Network, ANN)模型对海洋双壳类动物的生境适宜性进行了预测,并比较了预测效果和生态相关性。采用空间建模方法,纳入1200个发生数据点和10个环境因素。该研究使用了五个性能指标来估计生境适宜性模型的准确性。四种SDMs方法均显示海洋双壳类的分布与环境因子有显著的相关性。结果表明,随机森林(Random Forest, RF)模型的AUC值为0.98,优于SVM(0.87)、MaxEnt(0.97)和ANN(0.87)模型。pH值、弥散度和方解石是影响该地区双壳类动物分布的主要环境因子。最后,基于RF模型提出了高适宜性和极适宜性海生双壳类的潜在养殖区域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Habitat Prediction and Knowledge Extraction for Marine Bivalves using Machine Learning Techniques
Species distribution models (SDMs) are powerful tools for analyzing the relationships between species and the environment. SDM results can provide insights into a species’ response to a given habitat condition, making it crucial to compare SDMs based on their predictive performance and habitat information. The marine bivalves’ habitat has been highly threatened due to anthropogenic activities and natural disturbances and continues to lose their rich biodiversity resources. Protection for these species requires detailed spatial distribution of these habitats such as habitat suitability maps. Three machine learning methods (Maximum Entropy, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machine) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were used to predict the habitat suitability for marine bivalves, comparing their predictive performance and ecological relevance. A spatial modeling approach was used, incorporating 1200 occurrence data points and ten environmental factors. The study used five performance metrics to estimate the accuracy of the habitat suitability models. All of the four SDMs methods showed significant relationship between the marine bivalves distribution and environmental factors. Results indicate that Random Forest (RF) model is the best predictor of potential bivalve habitat, with an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.98 compared to SVM (0.87), MaxEnt (0.97) and ANN (0.87) models. The most important environmental factors that affect the bivalve’s distribution in the area were pH, diffuse, and calcite. Finally, a potential area for cultivating the marine bivalves with high and very suitability was suggested based on the RF model.
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