多阶段文本挖掘预测市场分析

K. Kamatchi, A. Siva Balan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

数据挖掘或知识发现在金融市场预测中的应用已经得到了大量的研究。在这些研究中,各种数据挖掘技术被应用于预测股票价格趋势、指数值、货币汇率、波动率等。然而,这一领域的大多数现有研究都是基于数字和结构化数据,例如历史报价、财务报表、利率和税率或其他可量化的数据。挖掘文本和非结构化信息的研究,如新闻、专家的推荐和评论、在线论坛和聊天室的帖子、个人博客等,似乎只是一个新兴的研究领域。互联网上可用的文本数据通常数量巨大,比纯数字信息信息量大得多。这些信息可以帮助人们从一篇财经新闻中识别市场行为,也可以理解市场行为如此的原因。本文的目的是探索这个新兴的研究领域,并对各种文本数据挖掘技术在金融市场预测中的应用进行全面的实验和比较。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multiphase text mining predictor for market analysis
There has been a lot of research on the application of data mining or knowledge discovery in financial market predictions. In those researches, various data mining techniques are applied to predict stock price trends, index values, currency exchange rates, volatilities etc. However, most of the existing studies in this area are based on numeric and structured data for example, historical price quotes, financial statements, interest and tax rates or with other quantifiable figures. Studies on mining textual and unstructured information like news, recommendation and comments from experts, postings from online forums and chat rooms, personal blogs and so on seems to be only an emerging area of study. The available textual data on the internet is usually of huge quantity and is much more informative than purely numeric information. This information helps people to identify the market behavior from a piece of financial news but also understand the reason why the market behaves this way. The purpose of this thesis is to explore this emerging research area and to give comprehensive experiments and comparisons on applications of various textual data mining techniques on financial market predictions.
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