基于嵌套Logit模型的旅游出行模式与路径选择行为建模

Yigang Li, E. Yao, Yang Yang, Hekai Zhuang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

随着旅游业的发展,游客的流动加剧了景区连接道路的交通状况,包括通勤交通和直通交通。为了分析旅游交通的形成,本文提出了一个嵌套Logit模型(NL模型)来捕捉游客的出行方式和路线选择行为,并以八达岭长城为例进行了陈述偏好(SP)调查,以获得模型所需的数据。估计结果显示,游客更倾向于选择汽车(包括自驾游、出租车和租车)。与家庭旅游相比,朋友旅游中使用公共交通的比例更高。与其他游客相比,团体游客更倾向于选择旅游巴士。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling the Tourism Travel Mode and Route Choice Behaviour based on Nested Logit Model
With the development of tourism, the flow of tourists aggravates the traffic state of the road connecting the scenic spot with commuting traffic and through traffic. In order to analyse the formation of tourism traffic, this paper proposed a Nested Logit model (NL model) to capture the travel mode and route choice behaviour of tourism, and a stated preference (SP) survey based on the Badaling Great Wall is conducted to obtain the data needed for the model. The estimation results show tourists are more likely to choose car (including self-driving, taxi and rental car). Compared with family tourism, the proportion of public transport is more in the friends tourism. And the tourists in group are more likely to choose tour bus than the other tourists.
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