基于综合加权法和LS-SVM等维信息补充的核武器预测

Hongyi Duan, Jianan Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了预测核武器,本文首先引入影响拥有核武器的评价指标、经济指标、科技指标,建立了经最优赋值法改进的TOPSIS评价模型,将评价值小于20的国家预测为未来100年内拥有核武器的国家。然后,考虑到核武器数量是按年计算的,并且随着时间的变化而变化,并考虑到从《禁止核武器条约》等政策生效的2022年开始限制核武器数量的全球共识,决定建立基于LS-SVM算法的饱和Verhulst预测模型。最后采用等维嗜中性粒细胞复发预测的代谢数据处理方法,提高模型的准确性和合理性。通过对核武器数量的预测,各国可以对未来的核武器生产做出合理的规划,并有望在全球范围内达成共识,这将有助于解决核危机。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nuclear weapon prediction based on the verhulst method of comprehensive weighting and LS-SVM equidimensional information supplement
In this paper, to predict the nuclear weapons, we first introduce evaluation indicators that affect the possession of nuclear weapons, economic indicators, scientific and technological indicators, and establish a TOPSIS evaluation model improved by the optimal assignment method to predict countries with evaluation values less than 20, as countries that will possess nuclear weapons in the next 100 years. Then, in view of the fact that the number of nuclear weapons is calculated in years and changes over time, and considering the global consensus to limit the number of nuclear weapons from 2022 when the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons and other policies come into force, it is decided to build a Verhulst prediction model with saturation based on the LS-SVM algorithm, and finally to improve the accuracy and reasonableness of the model by using the metabolic data processing method of equal-dimensional neutrosophic recurrence prediction. By predicting the number of nuclear weapons, countries can make reasonable plans for future nuclear weapons production and hope to reach a global consensus, which will help to solve the nuclear crisis.
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