B. Ilori, Kayode Akano, Sunday O Peters, S. Durosaro, Sammad Folagbade Olayiwola, D. Oguntade, M. Ozoje
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究比较了三种非线性生长模型(Logistics、Gompertz和Von Bertalanffy)对360只三种基因型(异种、杂交和本地)火鸡生长的描述。使用固定效应模型贝叶斯方法的NLIN程序(Marquart算法)估计每个生长模型的生长曲线参数- A, B和K。并对三种模型的最佳拟合进行了估计。采用赤池信息准则(AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)对三种模型进行了比较。Pearson积矩相关系数(r),即相关系数,用于检验两个数量A和K生长模型参数之间的线性关系。在生长模型参数预测的比较中,Von Bertalanffy模型对所有雄性和本地雌性火鸡的两个标准的预测值都最小,而Gompertz的生长模型对雌性外来火鸡和雌性杂交火鸡的两个标准的预测值都最小。基于贝叶斯模型选择标准(偏差信息标准)的拟合优度,Von Bertalanffy的增长模型表现出最佳的拟合。然而,Bertalanffy和Gompertz的生长模型之间的差异非常小,因此,这两个模型都适用于对家火鸡的生长曲线进行建模,并考虑如何获得这种体重。
GROWTH DESCRIPTION OF PURE AND CROSSBRED TURKEYS USING NON-LINEAR MODELS IN HOT AND HUMID TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT
This study was conducted to compare three non-linear growth models (Logistics, Gompertz and Von Bertalanffy) in describing the growth of 360 turkeys of three genotypes (exotic, crossbred and local). The growth curve parameters - A, B and K for each growth model were estimated for each turkey using the NLIN procedure (Marquart algorithm) for the Bayesian approach with a fixed-effect model. The best fit of the three models was also estimated. A comparison was done among the three models using Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC). Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (r), the correlation coefficient, was used to examine the linear relationship between two quantities, A and K growth model parameters. For comparison of growth models parameter predicted, the Von Bertalanffy's model predicted the smallest value in both criteria for all the male and local female turkeys, while Gompertz's growth model had the smallest predicted value in both criteria for the female exotic and female crossbred turkeys. Based on the goodness of fit using the Bayesian Model Choice Criteria (Deviance Information Criteria), Von Bertalanffy's growth model showed the best fit. However, the difference between Bertalanffy's and Gompertz's growth models is very minimal, thus, making both models suitable for modeling the growth curve of domestic turkey and to consider how this weight is attained.