从时间序列的角度看软件进化

Eduardo Fuentetaja, D. Bagert
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引用次数: 23

摘要

过去十年在软件演化领域的研究已经产生了成功的软件系统成长的经验模型。尽管这些模型能够预测许多软件系统的增长趋势,但是在这些模型能够被纳入软件进化的最终理论之前,仍然存在必须解决的不一致性。本研究采用了一种创新的方法:将时间序列分析技术应用于软件系统增长的历史数据。初步结果发现数据中存在反相关关系,这种现象将验证软件进化的某些规律。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Software evolution from a time-series perspective
The last decade of research in the software evolution field has resulted in successful empirical models for software systems growth. Although the models are able to forecast the growth trend of a number of software systems, there are still inconsistencies that must be addressed before the models can be incorporated into a final theory of software evolution. This study applies an innovative approach: the application of time series analysis techniques to historical data of software systems growth. Preliminary results have found the presence of anticorrelations in the data, phenomena that would validate some laws of software evolution.
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