特立尼达和多巴哥的高租金陷阱

R. Auty, H. I. Furlonge
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引用次数: 0

摘要

特立尼达和多巴哥自20世纪60年代以来的高租金发展轨迹为“短纤陷阱”模式提供了一个例子。1974年至1978年和1979年至1981年期间,议会外的骚乱加上石油带来的巨额意外之财,使最初谨慎的发展政府转向实施雄心勃勃的以天然气为基础的工业化战略。当油价下跌时,经济经历了增长崩溃,这是长期的,并大幅减少了平均收入。然而,最终的恢复依赖于天然气的货币化,这证明了对碳氢化合物依赖的最小多样化,证明了一旦建立寻租的惯性。各国政府需要建立政治共识,为有效的经济增长部署租金。第5章展示了毛里求斯是如何做到这一点的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Staple Trap in High-Rent Trinidad and Tobago
The development trajectory of high-rent Trinidad and Tobago since the 1960s provides an example of the staple trap model. An extra-parliamentary disturbance combined with large oil windfalls through 1974–78 and 1979–81 to deflect an initially cautious developmental government into executing an overambitious strategy of gas-based industrialization. The economy experienced a growth collapse when oil prices faltered, which was protracted and sharply reduced average incomes. Eventual recovery relied on monetizing natural gas, however, which proved a minimum diversification away from hydrocarbon dependence, testifying to the inertia of rent-seeking once established. Governments need to build a political consensus to deploy rent for efficient economic growth. Chapter 5 shows how Mauritius achieved this.
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