基于循环深度学习架构的近期欧微米波期间Covid-19患者住院率预测

H. Bouhamed, Monia Hamdi, R. Gargouri
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文描述了一个建议模型,用于预测在欧米克隆变异快速传播期间各国Covid-19患者的床位占用情况。该模型可用于就采取或减轻限制措施以及预测氧气和保健人力资源需求作出决定。为了预测Covid-19的医院占用率,我们测试了一些循环深度学习架构。为了训练模型,我们参考了来自15个国家的Covid-19医院入住率数据,这些数据的曲线在2022年1月开始回归。研究的时间段为2021年12月至2022年1月初,这段时间是该病毒在全球范围内的强烈传染期。使用医院使用率、疫苗接种率和人口年龄中位数的进化序列来训练我们的模型。结果非常有希望,有助于更好地管理当前的大流行高峰。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Covid-19 Patients' Hospital Occupancy Prediction During the Recent Omicron Wave via some Recurrent Deep Learning Architectures
This paper described a suggested model to predict bed occupancy for Covid-19 patients by country during the rapid spread of the Omicron variant. This model can be used to make decisions on the introduction or alleviation of restrictive measures and on the prediction of oxygen and health human resource requirements. To predict Covid-19 hospital occupancy, we tested some recurrent deep learning architectures. To train the model, we referred to Covid-19 hospital occupancy data from 15 countries whose curves started their regressions during January 2022. The studied period covers the month of December 2021 and the beginning of January 2022, which represents the period of strong contagion of the omicron variant around the world. The evolution sequences of hospital occupancy, vaccination percentages and median ages of populations were used to train our model. The results are very promising which could help to better manage the current pandemic peak.
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