RISMC分析方法在核电厂运行与维护中的应用

Zhao Wang, Weidong Liu, Leilei Liu, Yongxiang Wang, Liangwang Xu, Liang Pei, Qiongzhe Li, Jianbing Guo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

RISMC (Risk informed safety margin characteristic)分析方法是一种将概率安全分析与确定性安全分析相结合的核电厂安全分析方法。通用的RISMC分析平台“CARS”(Coupling platform for Advanced Risk Simulation,高级风险仿真耦合平台)可以提供热力液压安全分析系统程序的参数分布和蒙特卡罗采样功能,以及与数据的交互耦合功能。本文采用CARS和热工安全分析系统程序,通过事故情景抽样、物理机理计算和情景后果统计等方法,对核电站人员培训和工程改造的技术要求进行了分析。在分析过程中,通过对核电站运行规律、设备可靠性和关键因素的不确定性分布特征的分析,综合考虑可能影响事件过程和后果的各种重要因素。并利用热工水力安全分析系统程序,通过建立真实的物理模型,分析了事件情景发展的后果、核电站的响应和时间过程。计算结果表明了人才培养的目标水平和工程修改的有效性。结果表明,RISMC分析方法是一种有效的核电厂运行维护安全分析与决策方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
RISMC Analysis Method Used in Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plant
Risk informed safety margin characteristics (RISMC) analysis Method, is a safety analysis method which combines probability safety analysis and determinism safety analysis of nuclear power plant. General RISMC analysis platform “CARS” (Coupling Platform for Advanced Risk Simulation) can provide parameter distribution and Monte Carlo sampling function, and interactive coupling function with data of the thermal hydraulic safety analysis system program. The paper uses CARS and thermal hydraulic safety analysis system program to analyzes the technical requirements of personnel training and engineering modification of nuclear power plant, by means of accident scenario sampling, physical mechanism calculation and scenario consequence statistics. In the analysis process, various important factors which may affect the event process and consequences are comprehensively considered through the analysis of nuclear power plant operation rules, equipment reliability and the uncertainty distribution characteristics of key factors. And consequences of event scenario development, nuclear power plant response and the time course are analyzed through establish a realistic physical model by using thermal hydraulic safety analysis system program. The calculation results give the target level of personnel training and the effectiveness of engineering modification. The results show that RISMC analysis Method is an effective safty analysis and decision making method for operation and maintenance of nuclear power plants.
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