基于社会保障管理数据的退休福利申领的风格化事实与激励效应

W. Kopczuk, Jae Song
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引用次数: 22

摘要

我们依靠主受益人档案来记录有关申请社会保障福利和行政档案中出生日期数据质量的一些事实。然后,我们评估了自2000年以来发生的退休激励变化对索赔的影响。我们在出生日期上发现了重要的误报或笔误的证据,这些证据产生了系统的模式,但似乎是相当随机的。我们也证实了在一月份或生日时索赔的显著趋势,但我们发现这些模式仍然对激励效应敏感。根据每个月第二天出生的人享有提前退休年龄的不连续性,我们发现有证据表明,人们对申请年龄没有单峰偏好:放松提前退休限制会导致一些人加速退休,而这些人本来不会受到限制。对这种模式的一种可能解释是,人们倾向于在生日时退休。我们利用了完全退休年龄的变化,发现在65岁左右申请退休福利的人数(相对于其他生日)仍然非常多,这支持了医疗保险资格对申请退休福利有影响的观点。最后,我们证实了2000年对超过完全退休年龄的人的收入测试的取消加速了退休,并发现它也导致了该群体中1月效应的显着减弱,支持了1月效应对经济激励敏感的观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stylized Facts and Incentive Effects Related to Claiming of Retirement Benefits Based on Social Security Administration Data
We rely on the Master Beneficiary File to document a number of facts regarding claiming of Social Security benefits and quality of date of birth data in administrative files. We then assess the impact of changes in retirement incentives that have taken place since 2000 on claiming. We find evidence of non-trivial misreporting or clerical errors in the dates of births that give rise to systematic patterns but nevertheless appear to be fairly random. We also confirm significant tendency to claim in January or on birthdays, but we find that these patterns are still sensitive to incentive effects. Relying on the discontinuity in the Early Entitlement Age that occurs for people born on the second day of any month, we find evidence that people do not have singlepeaked preferences over claiming age: relaxing the early retirement constraint leads to acceleration of retirement by some people for whom the constraint would not be otherwise binding. One possible explanation for this pattern is a preference for retiring at one's birthday. We take advantage of a change in the full retirement age and find that there remains unusually large (relative to other birthdays) number of people who claim around their 65th birthday, supporting the idea that Medicare eligibility has an impact on claiming retirement benefits. Finally, we confirm that elimination of the earnings test in 2000 for those above full retirement age accelerated retirements and find that it also led to a significant weakening of the January effect in that group, bolstering the idea that the January effect is sensitive to economic incentives.
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