北冰洋海平面趋势

E. Lemeshko, E. Lemeshko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

北极在地球气候系统中起着重要的作用,本文的目的是分析北冰洋海平面变率的特点,并将其与世界海平面变率进行比较。根据1993 - 2018年期间的测高数据,估计世界海平面趋势为3.15±0.2 mm/年,置信区间为68%。然而,与1993-2004年相比,应注意到2004-2015年期间的线性趋势增加了0.8毫米/年。2002-2018年世界海洋重力水平的线性趋势估计为2.13±0.12 mm/年,置信区间为68%;空间水平趋势估计为1.02 mm/年,与其他作者通过独立方法获得的估计一致。计算了2002-2015年期间北冰洋重力水平的线性趋势,并与世界海平面及其空间分量的线性趋势估计值进行了比较。挪威海、巴伦支海和俄罗斯北极海的重力水平变率主要为季节和季节内变率,年际变率的贡献小于20 - 30%;在东西伯利亚海、楚科奇海和波弗特海,年际变率的贡献达到50%;格陵兰地区的过程主要以年际变率为特征,年际变率占重力水平总方差的70 - 90%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Arctic Ocean Level Trends
The Arctic plays a significant role in the Earth’s climate system and the purpose of this article is to analyze peculiarities of variability of the Arctic Ocean level and to compare it with that of the World Ocean level . According to altimetry data for the period of 1993– 2018 an estimate of the World Ocean level trend of 3.15 ± 0.2 mm/year with a 68 % confidence interval was obtained. Whereas an increase in the linear trend of 0.8 mm / year for the period 2004–2015 should be noted in comparison with 1993–2004. Estimation of the linear trend of the World Ocean barystatic level is 2.13 ± 0.12 mm/year with a 68 % confidence interval for the period 2002–2018, and the steric level trend is 1.02 mm/year, which is consistent with estimates of other authors obtained by independent methods. The linear trends of the Arctic Ocean barystatic level are calculated for the period 2002–2015 and compared with estimates of the linear trend of the World Ocean level and its steric component. The processes of variability of the barystatic level in the Norwegian, Barents and Arctic seas of Russia are mainly seasonal and intra-seasonal in nature, the contribution of interannual variability is less than 20–30 %; in the East Siberian, Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, the contribution of interannual variability reaches 50 %; processes in the region of Greenland are characterized mainly by interannual variability, which makes 70– 90 % of the contribution to the total variance of the barystatic level.
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