Lídio Mauro Lima de Campos, J. H. A. Pereira, Danilo Souza Duarte, R. C. L. Oliveira
{"title":"用于时间序列预测的进化深度神经网络","authors":"Lídio Mauro Lima de Campos, J. H. A. Pereira, Danilo Souza Duarte, R. C. L. Oliveira","doi":"10.21528/LNLM-VOL18-NO2-ART4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The aim of this paper is to introduce a biologically inspired approach that can automatically generate Deep Neural networks with good prediction capacity, smaller error and large tolerance to noises. In order to do this, three biological paradigms were used: Genetic Algorithm (GA), Lindenmayer System and Neural Networks (DNNs). The final sections of the paper present some experiments aimed at investigating the possibilities of the method in the forecast the price of energy in the Brazilian market. The proposed model considers a multi-step ahead price prediction (12, 24, and 36 weeks ahead). The results for MLP and LSTM networks show a good ability to predict peaks and satisfactory accuracy according to error measures comparing with other methods.","PeriodicalId":386768,"journal":{"name":"Learning and Nonlinear Models","volume":"53 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evolving deep neural networks for Time Series Forecasting\",\"authors\":\"Lídio Mauro Lima de Campos, J. H. A. Pereira, Danilo Souza Duarte, R. C. L. Oliveira\",\"doi\":\"10.21528/LNLM-VOL18-NO2-ART4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The aim of this paper is to introduce a biologically inspired approach that can automatically generate Deep Neural networks with good prediction capacity, smaller error and large tolerance to noises. In order to do this, three biological paradigms were used: Genetic Algorithm (GA), Lindenmayer System and Neural Networks (DNNs). The final sections of the paper present some experiments aimed at investigating the possibilities of the method in the forecast the price of energy in the Brazilian market. The proposed model considers a multi-step ahead price prediction (12, 24, and 36 weeks ahead). The results for MLP and LSTM networks show a good ability to predict peaks and satisfactory accuracy according to error measures comparing with other methods.\",\"PeriodicalId\":386768,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Learning and Nonlinear Models\",\"volume\":\"53 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Learning and Nonlinear Models\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21528/LNLM-VOL18-NO2-ART4\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Learning and Nonlinear Models","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21528/LNLM-VOL18-NO2-ART4","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Evolving deep neural networks for Time Series Forecasting
The aim of this paper is to introduce a biologically inspired approach that can automatically generate Deep Neural networks with good prediction capacity, smaller error and large tolerance to noises. In order to do this, three biological paradigms were used: Genetic Algorithm (GA), Lindenmayer System and Neural Networks (DNNs). The final sections of the paper present some experiments aimed at investigating the possibilities of the method in the forecast the price of energy in the Brazilian market. The proposed model considers a multi-step ahead price prediction (12, 24, and 36 weeks ahead). The results for MLP and LSTM networks show a good ability to predict peaks and satisfactory accuracy according to error measures comparing with other methods.