限制性措施对国家民主基础的影响的风险

Irena Tušer, Radovan Potucek, Š. Hošková-Mayerová
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为缓解covid-19危机而采取的限制性措施对区域和地方的影响是高度不同的,并对社会运作效率、国家行政部门的应急管理以及执政党的政治反应产生重大影响。该文件涉及对政府采取的限制性措施所造成的威胁和风险的评估,作为解决捷克共和国大流行病危机局势的一部分。作者的目的是确定在大流行期间可能影响刚果民主共和国民主和内部安全的最严重威胁和风险,并提出缓解这些威胁和风险的建议。为了评估已定义的威胁和风险,使用了一种点半定量方法,与概率、影响值和评估者的意见一起工作,称为PCE方法(概率、后果、评估者)。在20个被评估的威胁中,一组评估人员使用PCE方法确定了8个最严重的威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risks of the Effects of Restrictive Measures on the Democratic Foundations of a State
The regional and local impacts of the restrictive measures taken to mitigate the covid-19 crisis are highly heterogeneous and have significant consequences for the efficiency of society’s functioning, the emergency management of the state administration, and the political responses of the governing parties. The paper deals with the assessment of threats and risks resulting from the restrictive measures of the government as part of the solution to the pandemic crisis situation in the Czech Republic (CR). The aim of the authors is to identify the most serious threats and risks that can affect the democracy and internal security of the CR during a pandemic and to propose recommendations for their mitigation. To assess the defined threats and risks, a point semi-quantitative method was used, working with values for probability, impact and the opinion of evaluators, called the PCE method (Probability, Consequences, Evaluator). Out of the twenty assessed threats, a group of evaluators identified the eight most serious ones, using the PCE method.
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