移动通信与经济增长的分析:来自ardl模型的证据

Ibrahim Musa, S. Magaji, A. Salisu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)作为方法,研究了移动电话对尼日利亚经济增长的影响,数据来自2001-2017年。研究表明,手机普及率对实际人均GDP有积极影响。这意味着随着越来越多的人使用手机,人均GDP有望增长。移动渗透率增加10%将导致人均年GDP增长0.5%。该研究的结论是,如果使用得当,在所有利益相关者的充分参与下,移动电话可以帮助可持续的经济发展,特别是在尼日利亚这样的国家。电信的内在价值不在于简化通信和信息,而在于促进增长和发展。该研究建议,需要制定消费者保护政策来保护消费者免受不公平的电话和移动数据收费的影响,这将确保消费者物有所值,这将导致该行业的消费和投资增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYSIS OF MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM ARDL MODELING
This study examines the impact of mobile telephone on economic growth in Nigeria using ARDL (Autoregressive distributed lag) as methodology, with data from 2001-2017. The study reveals that mobile penetration had a positive impact on real GDP per capita. Which means as more people get access to mobile phones, GDP per capita is expected to grow. 10% increase in mobile penetration will lead to a 0.5 % increase in average annual GDP per capita. The study concludes that mobile telephony can aid sustainable economic development when used appropriately, with the full participation of all stakeholders, especially in a country like Nigeria. The intrinsic value of telecommunications lies not in easing communications and information, but in enabling growth and development. The study recommends that Consumer protection policies are needed to protect consumers from unfair calls and mobile data charges will ensure consumer get the value for their money, which will lead to increased consumption and investment in the industry.
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